TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043841
Played Aug 30Finished
Pavlo Chyzh
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111311115911119
Viktor Ivanytskyi
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:50 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeViktor Ivanytskyi to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPavlo Chyzh above · Viktor Ivanytskyi below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 98 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Viktor Ivanytskyi at 61.7%
98 points played in total.
H2H Pavlo Chyzh 1–2 Viktor Ivanytskyi Pavlo Chyzh has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:50What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Ivanytskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chyzh 925 vs Ivanytskyi 1015
Ivanytskyi
Wrong
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chyzh 20% vs Ivanytskyi 100%
Ivanytskyi
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chyzh 20% vs Ivanytskyi 80%
Ivanytskyi
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chyzh -3 · Ivanytskyi +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Ivanytskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivanytskyi form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChyzh 2.25 / Ivanytskyi 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Ivanytskyi)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13043841
Chyzh2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog30% won 16 of 53
Down 0–1, comes back17% 6 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28
Ivanytskyi1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 67 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it100% 37 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it87% 52 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeChyzh1wins
AwayIvanytskyi2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderIvanytskyi leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChyzhn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayIvanytskyi66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chyzh0Ivanytskyi3n = 3Ivanytskyi took 3 of 3
S2Chyzh2Ivanytskyi1n = 3Chyzh took 2 of 3
S3Chyzh2Ivanytskyi1n = 3Chyzh took 2 of 3
S4Chyzh0Ivanytskyi3n = 3Ivanytskyi took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricChyzhIvanytskyiC − IBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match44.345.7−1.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChyzhIvanytskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime82 / 207 vs 95 / 15839.6%60.1%82 / 207 vs 95 / 158Avg sets wonper match1.72.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.438.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvanytskyiChyzh 2.25/Ivanytskyi 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.7%
Ivanytskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Chyzh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 30 · 09:25P. Chyzh—713119113V. Ivanytskyi—111151192
LAug 11 · 11:25P. Chyzh—9139101V. Ivanytskyi—111111123
LAug 10 · 12:55P. Chyzh—10811121V. Ivanytskyi—12118143
P. Chyzh10
LAug 30 · 10:25O. Bolnyh3.25117119113P. Chyzh1.3391191132LAug 30 · 08:25P. Chyzh1.3312681182P. Melnichuk3.251011119113LAug 30 · 06:55P. Chyzh1.731111951V. Sydorchuk2.0013911113LAug 30 · 04:55P. Chyzh2.00119591Y. Shcherbak1.7371111113WAug 29 · 18:25P. Chyzh1.4491111143O. Bolnyh2.631198121LAug 29 · 16:25Y. Melnyk1.671112113P. Chyzh2.1021070WAug 29 · 15:25P. Chyzh1.40101111113P. Melnichuk2.75129891LAug 29 · 14:25Y. Shcherbak2.101314113P. Chyzh1.67111270LAug 29 · 12:55P. Chyzh1.44881141V. Sydorchuk2.6311115113LAug 11 · 11:25P. Chyzh1.919139101V. Ivanytskyi1.80111111123
V. Ivanytskyi10
LSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132WSep 3 · 09:55O. Maksymkiv1.4411119992V. Ivanytskyi2.63751111113WSep 3 · 08:25M. Treschetka1.40117118162V. Ivanytskyi2.75711711183WSep 3 · 06:25A. Nikolenko2.637370V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113WSep 3 · 04:25M. Dunas1.5011119692V. Ivanytskyi2.40041111113LSep 2 · 18:25Y. Melnyk1.731111113V. Ivanytskyi2.006870LSep 2 · 17:25M. Dunas1.671112113V. Ivanytskyi2.1081070WSep 2 · 15:55A. Nikolenko2.6371111862V. Ivanytskyi1.44117811113WSep 2 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi1.50117541V. Ivanytskyi2.5071111113WAug 11 · 11:25P. Chyzh1.919139101V. Ivanytskyi1.80111111123
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