TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066861
Played Sep 3Finished
Anatolii Nikolenko
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711311711––––
Viktor Ivanytskyi
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:09 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeViktor Ivanytskyi to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatolii Nikolenko above · Viktor Ivanytskyi below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 50 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Viktor Ivanytskyi at 66.1%
50 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Nikolenko 7–19 Viktor Ivanytskyi Anatolii Nikolenko has won 7 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:09What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Ivanytskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-19 in 26
Ivanytskyi
Correct
gap of 12 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nikolenko 982 vs Ivanytskyi 1089
Ivanytskyi
Correct
both rated, 107 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nikolenko 0% vs Ivanytskyi 60%
Ivanytskyi
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nikolenko 20% vs Ivanytskyi 60%
Ivanytskyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nikolenko -5 · Ivanytskyi +1
Nikolenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Ivanytskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nikolenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNikolenko 2.63 / Ivanytskyi 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Ivanytskyi)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13066861
Nikolenko2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 39 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back20% 16 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 47
Ivanytskyi1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 71 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it100% 38 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it87% 55 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNikolenko2wins
AwayIvanytskyi8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderIvanytskyi leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNikolenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayIvanytskyi87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nikolenko2Ivanytskyi8n = 10Ivanytskyi took 8 of 10
S2Nikolenko6Ivanytskyi4n = 10Nikolenko took 6 of 10
S3Nikolenko3Ivanytskyi7n = 10Ivanytskyi took 7 of 10
S4Nikolenko1Ivanytskyi6n = 7Ivanytskyi took 6 of 7
S5Nikolenko2Ivanytskyi3n = 5Ivanytskyi took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricNikolenkoIvanytskyiN − IBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.241.9−5.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNikolenkoIvanytskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime328 / 694 vs 102 / 16947.3%60.4%328 / 694 vs 102 / 169Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvanytskyiNikolenko 2.63/Ivanytskyi 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Ivanytskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ivanytskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 06:25A. Nikolenko—7370V. Ivanytskyi—1111113
LSep 2 · 15:55A. Nikolenko—71111862V. Ivanytskyi—117811113
LAug 27 · 06:25A. Nikolenko—111165102V. Ivanytskyi—581111123
LAug 26 · 12:25A. Nikolenko—61111882V. Ivanytskyi—115811113
LAug 22 · 10:55A. Nikolenko—89100V. Ivanytskyi—1111123
WAug 21 · 16:55A. Nikolenko—13111011113V. Ivanytskyi—15612982
LAug 14 · 12:25A. Nikolenko—10850V. Ivanytskyi—1211113
WAug 11 · 07:55A. Nikolenko—119113123V. Ivanytskyi—811511102
LAug 10 · 16:55A. Nikolenko—5118101V. Ivanytskyi—11611123
LJul 23 · 06:55A. Nikolenko—811641V. Ivanytskyi—11911113
A. Nikolenko10
WSep 3 · 11:25A. Nikolenko3.25121211113O. Maksymkiv1.331410141LSep 3 · 09:25M. Treschetka1.67711119163A. Nikolenko2.10118811142LSep 3 · 07:25M. Dunas1.671113125113A. Nikolenko2.10711141122LSep 3 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.36111116113A. Nikolenko3.00471841LSep 2 · 17:55M. Treschetka1.731112123A. Nikolenko2.00910100LSep 2 · 16:55A. Nikolenko3.00155331O. Maslovskyi1.36131111113LSep 2 · 15:55A. Nikolenko2.6371111862V. Ivanytskyi1.44117811113LSep 2 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.80911761Y. Melnyk1.9111211113LSep 2 · 12:25A. Nikolenko1.73171191142M. Dunas2.00198118113WAug 27 · 11:25A. Nikolenko1.141111113O. Bolnyh5.005540
V. Ivanytskyi10
LSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132WSep 3 · 09:55O. Maksymkiv1.4411119992V. Ivanytskyi2.63751111113WSep 3 · 08:25M. Treschetka1.40117118162V. Ivanytskyi2.75711711183WSep 3 · 04:25M. Dunas1.5011119692V. Ivanytskyi2.40041111113LSep 2 · 18:25Y. Melnyk1.731111113V. Ivanytskyi2.006870LSep 2 · 17:25M. Dunas1.671112113V. Ivanytskyi2.1081070WSep 2 · 15:55A. Nikolenko2.6371111862V. Ivanytskyi1.44117811113WSep 2 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi1.50117541V. Ivanytskyi2.5071111113LSep 2 · 11:55M. Treschetka1.611111113V. Ivanytskyi2.209930WAug 30 · 11:25V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113Y. Shcherbak2.638980
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