TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13023209
Played Aug 27Finished
Anatolii Nikolenko
Home
1.14
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115115114––––
Oleksandr Bolnyh
Away
5.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:03 and never touched — 84.2% is still 84.2%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Nikolenko to win
84.2%
84.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatolii Nikolenko above · Oleksandr Bolnyh below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 47 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Anatolii Nikolenko at 84.2%
47 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Nikolenko 1–0 Oleksandr Bolnyh Oleksandr Bolnyh has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (81%)
Nikolenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Nikolenko 1049 vs Bolnyh 746
Nikolenko
Correct
both rated, 303 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nikolenko 60% vs Bolnyh 40%
Nikolenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nikolenko 60% vs Bolnyh 40%
Nikolenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nikolenko +1 · Bolnyh -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Nikolenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bolnyh form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (20%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNikolenko 1.14 / Bolnyh 5.00
Signal prob.84% / 16%
Edge (Nikolenko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13023209
Nikolenko1.14
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 95 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it98% 57 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it85% 74 of 87
Bolnyh5.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 38 of 98
Down 0–1, comes back24% 14 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeNikolenko1wins
AwayBolnyh0wins
Nikolenko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricNikolenkoBolnyhN − BBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.010.0+23.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNikolenkoBolnyhBasisWin rate · lifetime332 / 694 vs 74 / 16347.8%45.4%332 / 694 vs 74 / 163Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NikolenkoNikolenko 1.14/Bolnyh 5.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
84.2%
Nikolenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Nikolenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WMay 28 · 18:55A. Nikolenko—1111113O. Bolnyh—4420
A. Nikolenko10
WSep 3 · 11:25A. Nikolenko3.25121211113O. Maksymkiv1.331410141LSep 3 · 09:25M. Treschetka1.67711119163A. Nikolenko2.10118811142LSep 3 · 07:25M. Dunas1.671113125113A. Nikolenko2.10711141122LSep 3 · 06:25A. Nikolenko2.637370V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113LSep 3 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.36111116113A. Nikolenko3.00471841LSep 2 · 17:55M. Treschetka1.731112123A. Nikolenko2.00910100LSep 2 · 16:55A. Nikolenko3.00155331O. Maslovskyi1.36131111113LSep 2 · 15:55A. Nikolenko2.6371111862V. Ivanytskyi1.44117811113LSep 2 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.80911761Y. Melnyk1.9111211113LSep 2 · 12:25A. Nikolenko1.73171191142M. Dunas2.00198118113
O. Bolnyh10
WSep 5 · 11:25O. Bolnyh1.8011113123V. Sydorchuk1.918911101WSep 5 · 09:25O. Kulbach5.005940O. Bolnyh1.141111113WSep 5 · 07:25M. Kornijchuk1.835670O. Bolnyh1.831111113WSep 5 · 06:25O. Bolnyh1.4411116113M. Senyk2.63771181WSep 5 · 05:25A. Lanchut8.00781171O. Bolnyh1.0611119113WAug 30 · 10:25O. Bolnyh3.25117119113P. Chyzh1.3391191132WAug 30 · 08:55O. Bolnyh1.91511911113V. Sydorchuk1.8011911662LAug 30 · 07:25O. Bolnyh4.506970V. Ivanytskyi1.171111113LAug 30 · 05:55O. Bolnyh4.50451151Y. Shcherbak1.1711113113LAug 30 · 04:25O. Bolnyh1.5711711352P. Melnichuk2.25611911113
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