TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078975
Played Sep 5Finished
Oleksii Kulbach
Home
5.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511911411––––
Oleksandr Bolnyh
Away
1.14
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:49 and never touched — 84.9% is still 84.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Bolnyh to win
84.9%
84.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksii Kulbach above · Oleksandr Bolnyh below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 51 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Oleksandr Bolnyh at 84.9%
51 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Kulbach 3–15 Oleksandr Bolnyh Oleksii Kulbach has won 3 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:49What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (81%)
Bolnyh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-15 in 18
Bolnyh
Correct
gap of 12 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulbach 377 vs Bolnyh 812
Bolnyh
Correct
both rated, 435 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulbach 20% vs Bolnyh 100%
Bolnyh
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulbach 30% vs Bolnyh 60%
Bolnyh
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulbach -1 · Bolnyh +5
Bolnyh
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Bolnyh) · live re-read · sealed at 85% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bolnyh form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (88%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulbach 5.00 / Bolnyh 1.14
Signal prob.13% / 87%
Edge (Bolnyh)+5.4pp
Setka Cup · #13078975
Kulbach5.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog14% won 13 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back8% 5 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 45
Bolnyh1.14
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 35 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it90% 18 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it73% 27 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKulbach2wins
AwayBolnyh8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBolnyh leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulbach33.3%1 of 3
AwayBolnyh85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulbach3Bolnyh7n = 10Bolnyh took 7 of 10
S2Kulbach4Bolnyh6n = 10Bolnyh took 6 of 10
S3Kulbach3Bolnyh7n = 10Bolnyh took 7 of 10
S4Kulbach2Bolnyh4n = 6Bolnyh took 4 of 6
S5Kulbach1Bolnyh2n = 3Bolnyh took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKulbachBolnyhK − BBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.940.4−8.5per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulbachBolnyhBasisWin rate · lifetime43 / 192 vs 81 / 17622.4%46%43 / 192 vs 81 / 176Avg sets wonper match1.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match33.536.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BolnyhKulbach 5.00/Bolnyh 1.14
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
86.8%
Bolnyh · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bolnyh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 12 · 14:55O. Kulbach—1113931O. Bolnyh—131111113
LAug 7 · 04:55O. Kulbach—11118792O. Bolnyh—981111113
LAug 6 · 09:25O. Kulbach—96100O. Bolnyh—1111123
LJul 18 · 08:25O. Kulbach—991341O. Bolnyh—111111113
LJul 17 · 14:55O. Kulbach—9560O. Bolnyh—1111113
LJul 9 · 15:25O. Kulbach—11241132O. Bolnyh—811118113
LJul 1 · 16:25O. Kulbach—913621O. Bolnyh—111111113
LJun 19 · 10:25O. Kulbach—2970O. Bolnyh—1111113
WJun 18 · 13:25O. Kulbach—471111123O. Bolnyh—111185102
WJun 2 · 15:25O. Kulbach—1111113O. Bolnyh—9980
O. Kulbach10
WSep 5 · 10:25M. Kornijchuk1.22211117102O. Kulbach4.00118711123LSep 5 · 08:25O. Kulbach2.7558120M. Senyk1.401111143WSep 5 · 06:55O. Kulbach1.73118911113A. Lanchut2.0081111872LSep 5 · 04:55O. Kulbach4.50711451V. Sydorchuk1.1711411113LSep 1 · 10:35B. Pyrtyk1.0891111113O. Kulbach7.00117891LSep 1 · 09:35O. Kulbach1.57121379102A. Lanchut2.2510111111123WSep 1 · 08:35O. Kulbach6.5091111113V. Sydorchuk1.10118891WSep 1 · 07:05O. Kulbach2.63121166113V. Moroz1.44109111162LSep 1 · 05:05O. Kulbach2.7595111172M. Senyk1.40111197113LAug 12 · 17:55O. Kulbach5.50111575102R. Skoropad1.138131111123
O. Bolnyh10
WSep 5 · 11:25O. Bolnyh1.8011113123V. Sydorchuk1.918911101WSep 5 · 07:25M. Kornijchuk1.835670O. Bolnyh1.831111113WSep 5 · 06:25O. Bolnyh1.4411116113M. Senyk2.63771181WSep 5 · 05:25A. Lanchut8.00781171O. Bolnyh1.0611119113WAug 30 · 10:25O. Bolnyh3.25117119113P. Chyzh1.3391191132WAug 30 · 08:55O. Bolnyh1.91511911113V. Sydorchuk1.8011911662LAug 30 · 07:25O. Bolnyh4.506970V. Ivanytskyi1.171111113LAug 30 · 05:55O. Bolnyh4.50451151Y. Shcherbak1.1711113113LAug 30 · 04:25O. Bolnyh1.5711711352P. Melnichuk2.25611911113LAug 29 · 18:25P. Chyzh1.4491111143O. Bolnyh2.631198121
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