TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13054575
Played Sep 1Finished
Oleksii Kulbach
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
121013117119111012
Andrii Lanchut
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:15 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeOleksii Kulbach to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksii Kulbach above · Andrii Lanchut below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 106 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Oleksii Kulbach at 63.7%
106 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Kulbach 6–3 Andrii Lanchut Andrii Lanchut has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:15What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kulbach
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Kulbach
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulbach 394 vs Lanchut 321
Kulbach
Wrong
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulbach 40% vs Lanchut 0%
Kulbach
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulbach 30% vs Lanchut 0%
Kulbach
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulbach +2 · Lanchut -5
Lanchut
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Kulbach) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lanchut form (0%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulbach 1.57 / Lanchut 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Kulbach)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13054575
Kulbach1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Lanchut2.25
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog4% won 1 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back5% 1 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKulbach6wins
AwayLanchut3wins
5 of 9 to a deciderKulbach leads 6–3, and 5 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulbach71.4%5 of 7
AwayLanchutn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulbach7Lanchut2n = 9Kulbach took 7 of 9
S2Kulbach8Lanchut1n = 9Kulbach took 8 of 9
S3Kulbach4Lanchut5n = 9Lanchut took 5 of 9
S4Kulbach3Lanchut4n = 7Lanchut took 4 of 7
S5Kulbach2Lanchut3n = 5Lanchut took 3 of 5
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away333%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricKulbachLanchutK − LBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match44.239.1+5.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulbachLanchutBasisWin rate · lifetime42 / 187 vs 6 / 7822.5%7.7%42 / 187 vs 6 / 78Avg sets wonper match1.30.9per matchAvg pointsper match33.429.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulbachKulbach 1.57/Lanchut 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Kulbach · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Lanchut won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 12 · 11:55O. Kulbach—11119113A. Lanchut—941181
LJul 18 · 10:25O. Kulbach—111111682A. Lanchut—461311113
WJul 17 · 17:55O. Kulbach—1111113A. Lanchut—5690
WNov 14 · 08:25O. Kulbach—11125113A. Lanchut—6101181
WOct 22 · 12:25O. Kulbach—1011126123A. Lanchut—1261011102
LOct 18 · 06:25O. Kulbach—1171011142A. Lanchut—811126153
LOct 17 · 18:55O. Kulbach—1113118112A. Lanchut—1311511133
WOct 6 · 18:55O. Kulbach—111158113A. Lanchut—56111182
WSep 12 · 17:25O. Kulbach—1211103A. Lanchut—10780
O. Kulbach10
WSep 5 · 10:25M. Kornijchuk1.22211117102O. Kulbach4.00118711123LSep 5 · 09:25O. Kulbach5.005940O. Bolnyh1.141111113LSep 5 · 08:25O. Kulbach2.7558120M. Senyk1.401111143WSep 5 · 06:55O. Kulbach1.73118911113A. Lanchut2.0081111872LSep 5 · 04:55O. Kulbach4.50711451V. Sydorchuk1.1711411113LSep 1 · 10:35B. Pyrtyk1.0891111113O. Kulbach7.00117891WSep 1 · 08:35O. Kulbach6.5091111113V. Sydorchuk1.10118891WSep 1 · 07:05O. Kulbach2.63121166113V. Moroz1.44109111162LSep 1 · 05:05O. Kulbach2.7595111172M. Senyk1.40111197113LAug 12 · 17:55O. Kulbach5.50111575102R. Skoropad1.138131111123
A. Lanchut10
LSep 5 · 10:55A. Lanchut3.407970M. Senyk1.301111113WSep 5 · 08:55M. Kornijchuk1.20681141A. Lanchut4.3311117113LSep 5 · 07:55A. Lanchut6.00115661V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113LSep 5 · 06:55O. Kulbach1.73118911113A. Lanchut2.0081111872LSep 5 · 05:25A. Lanchut8.00781171O. Bolnyh1.0611119113WSep 1 · 11:35A. Lanchut4.501114113M. Senyk1.1771280LSep 1 · 07:35B. Pyrtyk1.1011115113A. Lanchut6.50241161LSep 1 · 06:35A. Lanchut7.0011581152V. Sydorchuk1.08811119113LSep 1 · 05:35V. Moroz1.83711118113A. Lanchut1.8311971162LAug 13 · 10:55R. Skoropad1.17117118113A. Lanchut4.5081181192
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