TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13054660
Played Sep 1Finished
Bohdan Pyrtyk
Home
1.10
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
112114511116––
Andrii Lanchut
Away
6.50
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:25 and never touched — 87.1% is still 87.1%
Graded at full timeBohdan Pyrtyk to win
87.1%
87.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBohdan Pyrtyk above · Andrii Lanchut below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 61 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Bohdan Pyrtyk at 87.1%
61 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Pyrtyk 8–0 Andrii Lanchut Andrii Lanchut has won 0 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:25What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.10 (86%)
Pyrtyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-0 in 8
Pyrtyk
Correct
gap of 8 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pyrtyk 822 vs Lanchut 368
Pyrtyk
Correct
both rated, 454 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pyrtyk 80% vs Lanchut 0%
Pyrtyk
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pyrtyk 40% vs Lanchut 0%
Pyrtyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pyrtyk +4 · Lanchut -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Pyrtyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lanchut form (0%) is below what odds imply (15%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPyrtyk 1.10 / Lanchut 6.50
Signal prob.87% / 13%
Edge (Pyrtyk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13054660
Pyrtyk1.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 46 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it84% 36 of 43
Lanchut6.50
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog10% won 3 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back8% 2 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomePyrtyk8wins
AwayLanchut0wins
2 of 8 to a deciderPyrtyk leads 8–0, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePyrtyk100%6 of 6
AwayLanchutn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pyrtyk6Lanchut2n = 8Pyrtyk took 6 of 8
S2Pyrtyk6Lanchut2n = 8Pyrtyk took 6 of 8
S3Pyrtyk5Lanchut3n = 8Pyrtyk took 5 of 8
S4Pyrtyk5Lanchut1n = 6Pyrtyk took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home450%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricPyrtykLanchutP − LBasisWins80+8in 8 meetingsFirst set62+4of 8Avg pointsper match40.931.4+9.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPyrtykLanchutBasisWin rate · lifetime147 / 333 vs 8 / 8044.1%10%147 / 333 vs 8 / 80Avg sets wonper match1.90.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.729.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PyrtykPyrtyk 1.10/Lanchut 6.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
87.1%
Pyrtyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pyrtyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 1 · 07:35B. Pyrtyk—11115113A. Lanchut—241161
WAug 13 · 08:25B. Pyrtyk—118116113A. Lanchut—91171152
WJul 18 · 05:55B. Pyrtyk—781111123A. Lanchut—111188102
WJul 10 · 04:55B. Pyrtyk—1111113A. Lanchut—5970
WSep 27 · 09:55B. Pyrtyk—81111103A. Lanchut—113771
WSep 26 · 15:25B. Pyrtyk—11118113A. Lanchut—751191
WSep 18 · 15:22B. Pyrtyk—1211143A. Lanchut—107120
WSep 12 · 15:25B. Pyrtyk—11119113A. Lanchut—641161
B. Pyrtyk10
WSep 1 · 10:35B. Pyrtyk1.0891111113O. Kulbach7.00117891WSep 1 · 09:05B. Pyrtyk1.141111113V. Moroz5.004540WSep 1 · 06:05B. Pyrtyk1.13911116113M. Senyk5.5011961172WSep 1 · 04:35B. Pyrtyk1.57111122113V. Sydorchuk2.2549111172WAug 22 · 10:25O. Martynenko1.3351111792B. Pyrtyk3.25114711113WAug 22 · 09:25B. Pyrtyk1.611111113V. Sydorchuk2.202980LAug 22 · 08:25B. Pyrtyk2.6341280V. Ivanytskyi1.441114113LAug 22 · 06:55B. Pyrtyk2.63911881A. Nikolenko1.4411511113LAug 22 · 04:55B. Pyrtyk2.0091181282Y. Shcherbak1.731151110113LAug 18 · 11:25B. Pyrtyk1.671510431V. Sydorchuk2.10131211113
A. Lanchut10
LSep 5 · 10:55A. Lanchut3.407970M. Senyk1.301111113WSep 5 · 08:55M. Kornijchuk1.20681141A. Lanchut4.3311117113LSep 5 · 07:55A. Lanchut6.00115661V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113LSep 5 · 06:55O. Kulbach1.73118911113A. Lanchut2.0081111872LSep 5 · 05:25A. Lanchut8.00781171O. Bolnyh1.0611119113WSep 1 · 11:35A. Lanchut4.501114113M. Senyk1.1771280WSep 1 · 09:35O. Kulbach1.57121379102A. Lanchut2.2510111111123LSep 1 · 06:35A. Lanchut7.0011581152V. Sydorchuk1.08811119113LSep 1 · 05:35V. Moroz1.83711118113A. Lanchut1.8311971162LAug 13 · 10:55R. Skoropad1.17117118113A. Lanchut4.5081181192
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