TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12451117
Played Aug 18Finished
Bohdan Pyrtyk
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
15131012411311––
Viktor Sydorchuk
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:37 and never touched — 65.5% is still 65.5%
Graded at full timeBohdan Pyrtyk to win
65.5%
65.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingBohdan Pyrtyk above · Viktor Sydorchuk below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 79 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Bohdan Pyrtyk at 65.5%
79 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Pyrtyk 9–7 Viktor Sydorchuk Viktor Sydorchuk has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:37What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Pyrtyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-7 in 16
Pyrtyk
Wrong
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pyrtyk 786 vs Sydorchuk 742
Pyrtyk
Wrong
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pyrtyk 40% vs Sydorchuk 60%
Sydorchuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pyrtyk 40% vs Sydorchuk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pyrtyk -2 · Sydorchuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Pyrtyk) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorchuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPyrtyk 1.67 / Sydorchuk 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Pyrtyk)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12451117
Pyrtyk1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 40 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it84% 32 of 38
Sydorchuk2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog32% won 38 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back12% 7 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePyrtyk4wins
AwaySydorchuk6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSydorchuk leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePyrtyk33.3%1 of 3
AwaySydorchuk57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pyrtyk3Sydorchuk7n = 10Sydorchuk took 7 of 10
S2Pyrtyk4Sydorchuk6n = 10Sydorchuk took 6 of 10
S3Pyrtyk5Sydorchuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Pyrtyk5Sydorchuk4n = 9Pyrtyk took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPyrtykSydorchukP − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.539.6−3.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPyrtykSydorchukBasisWin rate · lifetime148 / 344 vs 124 / 28943%42.9%148 / 344 vs 124 / 289Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PyrtykPyrtyk 1.67/Sydorchuk 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.8%
Pyrtyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sydorchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 18 · 11:25B. Pyrtyk—1510431V. Sydorchuk—131211113
LAug 17 · 17:55B. Pyrtyk—9940V. Sydorchuk—1111113
WAug 13 · 10:25B. Pyrtyk—121111113V. Sydorchuk—146691
LJul 18 · 07:55B. Pyrtyk—411341V. Sydorchuk—11511113
WJul 10 · 06:55B. Pyrtyk—11118113V. Sydorchuk—941191
WJul 2 · 09:25B. Pyrtyk—81111123V. Sydorchuk—1148101
LJun 11 · 14:25B. Pyrtyk—361111102V. Sydorchuk—111189123
WJun 3 · 06:55B. Pyrtyk—891112113V. Sydorchuk—111171092
LMay 27 · 08:35B. Pyrtyk—119941V. Sydorchuk—71111113
LMay 20 · 11:35B. Pyrtyk—891181V. Sydorchuk—11115113
B. Pyrtyk10
WSep 1 · 10:35B. Pyrtyk1.0891111113O. Kulbach7.00117891WSep 1 · 09:05B. Pyrtyk1.141111113V. Moroz5.004540WSep 1 · 07:35B. Pyrtyk1.1011115113A. Lanchut6.50241161WSep 1 · 06:05B. Pyrtyk1.13911116113M. Senyk5.5011961172WSep 1 · 04:35B. Pyrtyk1.57111122113V. Sydorchuk2.2549111172WAug 22 · 10:25O. Martynenko1.3351111792B. Pyrtyk3.25114711113WAug 22 · 09:25B. Pyrtyk1.611111113V. Sydorchuk2.202980LAug 22 · 08:25B. Pyrtyk2.6341280V. Ivanytskyi1.441114113LAug 22 · 06:55B. Pyrtyk2.63911881A. Nikolenko1.4411511113LAug 22 · 04:55B. Pyrtyk2.0091181282Y. Shcherbak1.731151110113
V. Sydorchuk10
LSep 5 · 11:25O. Bolnyh1.8011113123V. Sydorchuk1.918911101LSep 5 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk2.25817711102M. Senyk1.571115113123WSep 5 · 07:55A. Lanchut6.00115661V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113WSep 5 · 04:55O. Kulbach4.50711451V. Sydorchuk1.1711411113WSep 1 · 11:05V. Moroz4.5011880V. Sydorchuk1.171311113LSep 1 · 10:05M. Senyk1.801111113V. Sydorchuk1.917760LSep 1 · 08:35O. Kulbach6.5091111113V. Sydorchuk1.10118891WSep 1 · 06:35A. Lanchut7.0011581152V. Sydorchuk1.08811119113LSep 1 · 04:35B. Pyrtyk1.57111122113V. Sydorchuk2.2549111172LAug 22 · 09:25B. Pyrtyk1.611111113V. Sydorchuk2.202980
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