TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12472344
Played Aug 22Finished
Bohdan Pyrtyk
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911115811811––
Anatolii Nikolenko
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:24 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Nikolenko to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBohdan Pyrtyk above · Anatolii Nikolenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 74 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Anatolii Nikolenko at 68.8%
74 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Pyrtyk 30–50 Anatolii Nikolenko Bohdan Pyrtyk has won 30 of their 80 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:24What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Nikolenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-50 in 80
Nikolenko
Correct
gap of 20 in 80, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pyrtyk 798 vs Nikolenko 1033
Nikolenko
Correct
both rated, 235 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pyrtyk 20% vs Nikolenko 40%
Nikolenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pyrtyk 30% vs Nikolenko 60%
Nikolenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pyrtyk -4 · Nikolenko -1
Pyrtyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Nikolenko) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nikolenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPyrtyk 2.63 / Nikolenko 1.44
Signal prob.28% / 73%
Edge (Nikolenko)+8.0pp
Setka Cup · #12472344
Pyrtyk2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 24 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back30% 11 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back15% 3 of 20
Nikolenko1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 96 of 138
Up 2–0, closes it98% 58 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it85% 73 of 86
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePyrtyk2wins
AwayNikolenko8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderNikolenko leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePyrtyk20%1 of 5
AwayNikolenko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pyrtyk5Nikolenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Pyrtyk3Nikolenko7n = 10Nikolenko took 7 of 10
S3Pyrtyk3Nikolenko7n = 10Nikolenko took 7 of 10
S4Pyrtyk2Nikolenko5n = 7Nikolenko took 5 of 7
S5Pyrtyk1Nikolenko3n = 4Nikolenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPyrtykNikolenkoP − NBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.841.7−7.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPyrtykNikolenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime147 / 344 vs 333 / 69942.7%47.6%147 / 344 vs 333 / 699Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NikolenkoPyrtyk 2.63/Nikolenko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.5%
Nikolenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Nikolenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 06:55B. Pyrtyk—911881A. Nikolenko—11511113
LAug 15 · 06:55B. Pyrtyk—20911332A. Nikolenko—1811911113
WJun 25 · 08:55B. Pyrtyk—121012113A. Nikolenko—10121081
LJun 5 · 14:25B. Pyrtyk—46100A. Nikolenko—1111123
LApr 30 · 09:25B. Pyrtyk—91020A. Nikolenko—1112113
LApr 23 · 10:55B. Pyrtyk—11114452A. Nikolenko—881111113
LApr 15 · 07:55B. Pyrtyk—11171182A. Nikolenko—911118113
LApr 9 · 08:55B. Pyrtyk—118661A. Nikolenko—91111113
LMar 19 · 12:25B. Pyrtyk—4650A. Nikolenko—1111113
WMar 12 · 08:55B. Pyrtyk—7111111113A. Nikolenko—11461332
B. Pyrtyk10
WSep 1 · 10:35B. Pyrtyk1.0891111113O. Kulbach7.00117891WSep 1 · 09:05B. Pyrtyk1.141111113V. Moroz5.004540WSep 1 · 07:35B. Pyrtyk1.1011115113A. Lanchut6.50241161WSep 1 · 06:05B. Pyrtyk1.13911116113M. Senyk5.5011961172WSep 1 · 04:35B. Pyrtyk1.57111122113V. Sydorchuk2.2549111172WAug 22 · 10:25O. Martynenko1.3351111792B. Pyrtyk3.25114711113WAug 22 · 09:25B. Pyrtyk1.611111113V. Sydorchuk2.202980LAug 22 · 08:25B. Pyrtyk2.6341280V. Ivanytskyi1.441114113LAug 22 · 04:55B. Pyrtyk2.0091181282Y. Shcherbak1.731151110113LAug 18 · 11:25B. Pyrtyk1.671510431V. Sydorchuk2.10131211113
A. Nikolenko10
WSep 3 · 11:25A. Nikolenko3.25121211113O. Maksymkiv1.331410141LSep 3 · 09:25M. Treschetka1.67711119163A. Nikolenko2.10118811142LSep 3 · 07:25M. Dunas1.671113125113A. Nikolenko2.10711141122LSep 3 · 06:25A. Nikolenko2.637370V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113LSep 3 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.36111116113A. Nikolenko3.00471841LSep 2 · 17:55M. Treschetka1.731112123A. Nikolenko2.00910100LSep 2 · 16:55A. Nikolenko3.00155331O. Maslovskyi1.36131111113LSep 2 · 15:55A. Nikolenko2.6371111862V. Ivanytskyi1.44117811113LSep 2 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.80911761Y. Melnyk1.9111211113LSep 2 · 12:25A. Nikolenko1.73171191142M. Dunas2.00198118113
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