TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12472261
Played Aug 22Finished
Oleh Martynenko
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511114117711911
Bohdan Pyrtyk
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:30 and never touched — 77.9% is still 77.9%
Graded at full timeOleh Martynenko to win
77.9%
77.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleh Martynenko above · Bohdan Pyrtyk below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 87 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Oleh Martynenko at 77.9%
87 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Martynenko 2–1 Bohdan Pyrtyk Bohdan Pyrtyk has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:30What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Martynenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Martynenko 838 vs Pyrtyk 785
Martynenko
Wrong
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martynenko 20% vs Pyrtyk 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martynenko 20% vs Pyrtyk 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Martynenko -2 · Pyrtyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Martynenko) · live re-read · sealed at 78% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pyrtyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartynenko 1.33 / Pyrtyk 3.25
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Martynenko)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #12472261
Martynenko1.33
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite39% won 27 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it65% 20 of 31
Pyrtyk3.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 23 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back32% 11 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back16% 3 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMartynenko2wins
AwayPyrtyk1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderMartynenko leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMartynenko66.7%2 of 3
AwayPyrtykn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martynenko3Pyrtyk0n = 3Martynenko took 3 of 3
S2Martynenko3Pyrtyk0n = 3Martynenko took 3 of 3
S3Martynenko2Pyrtyk1n = 3Martynenko took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricMartynenkoPyrtykM − PBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match39.731.3+8.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartynenkoPyrtykBasisWin rate · lifetime152 / 348 vs 146 / 34343.7%42.6%152 / 348 vs 146 / 343Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.036.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartynenkoMartynenko 1.33/Pyrtyk 3.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.9%
Martynenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pyrtyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 18 · 09:25O. Martynenko—1111153B. Pyrtyk—25130
LAug 17 · 15:55O. Martynenko—111269112B. Pyrtyk—8101111133
WAug 15 · 08:55O. Martynenko—1111113B. Pyrtyk—5880
O. Martynenko10
LAug 22 · 08:55O. Martynenko1.7311117732A. Nikolenko2.00751111113LAug 22 · 07:25O. Martynenko1.4410970V. Sydorchuk2.631211113WAug 22 · 05:55O. Martynenko2.201111143Y. Shcherbak1.6188120LAug 22 · 04:25O. Martynenko3.757880V. Ivanytskyi1.251111113LAug 21 · 18:25O. Martynenko2.109640I. Fokin1.67111153LAug 21 · 16:25Y. Shcherbak1.9161111113O. Martynenko1.80116751LAug 21 · 15:25O. Martynenko1.28211961V. Sydorchuk3.5011711113WAug 21 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.73815851O. Martynenko2.00111311113LAug 21 · 12:55O. Martynenko3.2561070V. Ivanytskyi1.331112113LAug 18 · 10:25P. Melnichuk2.251111113O. Martynenko1.578990
B. Pyrtyk10
WSep 1 · 10:35B. Pyrtyk1.0891111113O. Kulbach7.00117891WSep 1 · 09:05B. Pyrtyk1.141111113V. Moroz5.004540WSep 1 · 07:35B. Pyrtyk1.1011115113A. Lanchut6.50241161WSep 1 · 06:05B. Pyrtyk1.13911116113M. Senyk5.5011961172WSep 1 · 04:35B. Pyrtyk1.57111122113V. Sydorchuk2.2549111172WAug 22 · 09:25B. Pyrtyk1.611111113V. Sydorchuk2.202980LAug 22 · 08:25B. Pyrtyk2.6341280V. Ivanytskyi1.441114113LAug 22 · 06:55B. Pyrtyk2.63911881A. Nikolenko1.4411511113LAug 22 · 04:55B. Pyrtyk2.0091181282Y. Shcherbak1.731151110113LAug 18 · 11:25B. Pyrtyk1.671510431V. Sydorchuk2.10131211113
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