TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12472192
Played Aug 22Finished
Oleh Martynenko
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012911711––––
Viktor Sydorchuk
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:25 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeOleh Martynenko to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleh Martynenko above · Viktor Sydorchuk below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 60 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Oleh Martynenko at 64.5%
60 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Martynenko 1–3 Viktor Sydorchuk Oleh Martynenko has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:25What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Martynenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Sydorchuk
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Martynenko 825 vs Sydorchuk 808
Martynenko
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martynenko 20% vs Sydorchuk 80%
Sydorchuk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martynenko 40% vs Sydorchuk 60%
Sydorchuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Martynenko +1 · Sydorchuk +3
Sydorchuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Martynenko) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorchuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartynenko 1.44 / Sydorchuk 2.63
Signal prob.58% / 43%
Edge (Martynenko)-7.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #12472192
Martynenko1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite37% won 27 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it87% 13 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it63% 20 of 32
Sydorchuk2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 46 of 135
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMartynenko1wins
AwaySydorchuk3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderSydorchuk leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMartynenkon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySydorchuk100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martynenko1Sydorchuk3n = 4Sydorchuk took 3 of 4
S2Martynenko3Sydorchuk1n = 4Martynenko took 3 of 4
S3Martynenko2Sydorchuk2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricMartynenkoSydorchukM − SBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match29.537.0−7.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartynenkoSydorchukBasisWin rate · lifetime152 / 349 vs 128 / 29943.6%42.8%152 / 349 vs 128 / 299Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.036.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartynenkoMartynenko 1.44/Sydorchuk 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.5%
Martynenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sydorchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 22 · 07:25O. Martynenko—10970V. Sydorchuk—1211113
LAug 21 · 15:25O. Martynenko—211961V. Sydorchuk—11711113
LAug 18 · 04:55O. Martynenko—21111432V. Sydorchuk—118911113
WAug 17 · 11:55O. Martynenko—1111113V. Sydorchuk—9780
O. Martynenko10
LAug 22 · 10:25O. Martynenko1.3351111792B. Pyrtyk3.25114711113LAug 22 · 08:55O. Martynenko1.7311117732A. Nikolenko2.00751111113WAug 22 · 05:55O. Martynenko2.201111143Y. Shcherbak1.6188120LAug 22 · 04:25O. Martynenko3.757880V. Ivanytskyi1.251111113LAug 21 · 18:25O. Martynenko2.109640I. Fokin1.67111153LAug 21 · 16:25Y. Shcherbak1.9161111113O. Martynenko1.80116751LAug 21 · 15:25O. Martynenko1.28211961V. Sydorchuk3.5011711113WAug 21 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.73815851O. Martynenko2.00111311113LAug 21 · 12:55O. Martynenko3.2561070V. Ivanytskyi1.331112113LAug 18 · 10:25P. Melnichuk2.251111113O. Martynenko1.578990
V. Sydorchuk10
LSep 5 · 11:25O. Bolnyh1.8011113123V. Sydorchuk1.918911101LSep 5 · 09:55V. Sydorchuk2.25817711102M. Senyk1.571115113123WSep 5 · 07:55A. Lanchut6.00115661V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113WSep 5 · 04:55O. Kulbach4.50711451V. Sydorchuk1.1711411113WSep 1 · 11:05V. Moroz4.5011880V. Sydorchuk1.171311113LSep 1 · 10:05M. Senyk1.801111113V. Sydorchuk1.917760LSep 1 · 08:35O. Kulbach6.5091111113V. Sydorchuk1.10118891WSep 1 · 06:35A. Lanchut7.0011581152V. Sydorchuk1.08811119113LSep 1 · 04:35B. Pyrtyk1.57111122113V. Sydorchuk2.2549111172WAug 21 · 15:25O. Martynenko1.28211961V. Sydorchuk3.5011711113
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