TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12472241
Played Aug 22Finished
Oleh Martynenko
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711811811––––
Viktor Ivanytskyi
Away
1.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:17 and never touched — 86.6% is still 86.6%
Graded at full timeViktor Ivanytskyi to win
86.6%
86.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Martynenko above · Viktor Ivanytskyi below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 56 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Viktor Ivanytskyi at 86.6%
56 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Martynenko 2–4 Viktor Ivanytskyi Oleh Martynenko has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:17What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Ivanytskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Ivanytskyi
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Martynenko 850 vs Ivanytskyi 1034
Ivanytskyi
Correct
both rated, 184 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martynenko 20% vs Ivanytskyi 40%
Ivanytskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martynenko 40% vs Ivanytskyi 70%
Ivanytskyi
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Martynenko -3 · Ivanytskyi -2
Martynenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 85% — Strong (leans Ivanytskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 87% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivanytskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartynenko 3.75 / Ivanytskyi 1.25
Signal prob.15% / 85%
Edge (Ivanytskyi)+10.0pp
Setka Cup · #12472241
Martynenko3.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 21 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back10% 5 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 32
Ivanytskyi1.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite72% won 55 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it100% 32 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it92% 44 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeMartynenko2wins
AwayIvanytskyi4wins
1 of 6 to a deciderIvanytskyi leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMartynenko66.7%2 of 3
AwayIvanytskyi100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martynenko3Ivanytskyi3n = 6split evenly
S2Martynenko1Ivanytskyi5n = 6Ivanytskyi took 5 of 6
S3Martynenko0Ivanytskyi6n = 6Ivanytskyi took 6 of 6
S4Martynenko2Ivanytskyi1n = 3Martynenko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away350%
These 6 meetings
MetricMartynenkoIvanytskyiM − IBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match31.236.0−4.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartynenkoIvanytskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime151 / 344 vs 82 / 13943.9%59%151 / 344 vs 82 / 139Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.038.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvanytskyiMartynenko 3.75/Ivanytskyi 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85%
Ivanytskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ivanytskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 21 · 12:55O. Martynenko—61070V. Ivanytskyi—1112113
LAug 14 · 13:25O. Martynenko—7860V. Ivanytskyi—1111113
LJul 23 · 10:25O. Martynenko—8990V. Ivanytskyi—1111113
WJul 22 · 16:25O. Martynenko—11117113V. Ivanytskyi—481171
WJul 16 · 04:55O. Martynenko—118712113V. Ivanytskyi—711111062
LJul 7 · 08:05O. Martynenko—118811V. Ivanytskyi—81111113
O. Martynenko10
LAug 22 · 10:25O. Martynenko1.3351111792B. Pyrtyk3.25114711113LAug 22 · 08:55O. Martynenko1.7311117732A. Nikolenko2.00751111113LAug 22 · 07:25O. Martynenko1.4410970V. Sydorchuk2.631211113WAug 22 · 05:55O. Martynenko2.201111143Y. Shcherbak1.6188120LAug 21 · 18:25O. Martynenko2.109640I. Fokin1.67111153LAug 21 · 16:25Y. Shcherbak1.9161111113O. Martynenko1.80116751LAug 21 · 15:25O. Martynenko1.28211961V. Sydorchuk3.5011711113WAug 21 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.73815851O. Martynenko2.00111311113LAug 21 · 12:55O. Martynenko3.2561070V. Ivanytskyi1.331112113LAug 18 · 10:25P. Melnichuk2.251111113O. Martynenko1.578990
V. Ivanytskyi10
LSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132WSep 3 · 09:55O. Maksymkiv1.4411119992V. Ivanytskyi2.63751111113WSep 3 · 08:25M. Treschetka1.40117118162V. Ivanytskyi2.75711711183WSep 3 · 06:25A. Nikolenko2.637370V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113WSep 3 · 04:25M. Dunas1.5011119692V. Ivanytskyi2.40041111113LSep 2 · 18:25Y. Melnyk1.731111113V. Ivanytskyi2.006870LSep 2 · 17:25M. Dunas1.671112113V. Ivanytskyi2.1081070WSep 2 · 15:55A. Nikolenko2.6371111862V. Ivanytskyi1.44117811113WSep 2 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi1.50117541V. Ivanytskyi2.5071111113WAug 21 · 12:55O. Martynenko3.2561070V. Ivanytskyi1.331112113
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