TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061024
Played Sep 2Finished
Oleksandr Maslovskyi
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117711511411––
Viktor Ivanytskyi
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:23 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Maslovskyi to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Maslovskyi above · Viktor Ivanytskyi below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 67 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Oleksandr Maslovskyi at 55.8%
67 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Maslovskyi 3–2 Viktor Ivanytskyi Viktor Ivanytskyi has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:23What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Maslovskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maslovskyi 1059 vs Ivanytskyi 1043
Maslovskyi
Wrong
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maslovskyi 40% vs Ivanytskyi 60%
Ivanytskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maslovskyi 30% vs Ivanytskyi 80%
Ivanytskyi
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maslovskyi -3 · Ivanytskyi -1
Maslovskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Maslovskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivanytskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaslovskyi 1.50 / Ivanytskyi 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Maslovskyi)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13061024
Maslovskyi1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 113 of 177
Up 2–0, closes it91% 60 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it79% 81 of 102
Ivanytskyi2.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 24 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back28% 10 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back15% 3 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeMaslovskyi3wins
AwayIvanytskyi2wins
1 of 5 to a deciderMaslovskyi leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaslovskyi66.7%2 of 3
AwayIvanytskyin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maslovskyi3Ivanytskyi2n = 5Maslovskyi took 3 of 5
S2Maslovskyi2Ivanytskyi3n = 5Ivanytskyi took 3 of 5
S3Maslovskyi2Ivanytskyi3n = 5Ivanytskyi took 3 of 5
S4Maslovskyi2Ivanytskyi1n = 3Maslovskyi took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricMaslovskyiIvanytskyiM − IBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match32.633.0−0.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaslovskyiIvanytskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime436 / 863 vs 97 / 16150.5%60.3%436 / 863 vs 97 / 161Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaslovskyiMaslovskyi 1.50/Ivanytskyi 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.9%
Maslovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ivanytskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 2 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi—117541V. Ivanytskyi—71111113
WJul 30 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi—811911113V. Ivanytskyi—11811792
WMay 9 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi—11411113V. Ivanytskyi—411991
WMar 12 · 07:25O. Maslovskyi—1111113V. Ivanytskyi—2650
LMar 11 · 19:25O. Maslovskyi—3580V. Ivanytskyi—1111113
O. Maslovskyi10
WSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132WSep 3 · 08:55M. Dunas1.57118781O. Maslovskyi2.2591111113LSep 3 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi4.3391111672O. Maksymkiv1.20116611113WSep 3 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.0065111182O. Maslovskyi1.73111189113WSep 3 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.36111116113A. Nikolenko3.00471841LSep 2 · 18:55O. Maslovskyi2.00241181M. Dunas1.7311119113WSep 2 · 16:55A. Nikolenko3.00155331O. Maslovskyi1.36131111113LSep 2 · 14:55M. Treschetka2.2051111113O. Maslovskyi1.61115471LSep 2 · 12:55Y. Melnyk2.75129117113O. Maslovskyi1.40101131172LAug 31 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi4.33149881O. Maksymkiv1.20121111113
V. Ivanytskyi10
LSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132WSep 3 · 09:55O. Maksymkiv1.4411119992V. Ivanytskyi2.63751111113WSep 3 · 08:25M. Treschetka1.40117118162V. Ivanytskyi2.75711711183WSep 3 · 06:25A. Nikolenko2.637370V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113WSep 3 · 04:25M. Dunas1.5011119692V. Ivanytskyi2.40041111113LSep 2 · 18:25Y. Melnyk1.731111113V. Ivanytskyi2.006870LSep 2 · 17:25M. Dunas1.671112113V. Ivanytskyi2.1081070WSep 2 · 15:55A. Nikolenko2.6371111862V. Ivanytskyi1.44117811113LSep 2 · 11:55M. Treschetka1.611111113V. Ivanytskyi2.209930WAug 30 · 11:25V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113Y. Shcherbak2.638980
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