TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043922
Played Aug 30Finished
Viktor Ivanytskyi
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118119118––––
Yuriy Shcherbak
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:39 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timeViktor Ivanytskyi to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Ivanytskyi above · Yuriy Shcherbak below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 58 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Viktor Ivanytskyi at 63.6%
58 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Ivanytskyi 10–12 Yuriy Shcherbak Viktor Ivanytskyi has won 10 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:39What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Ivanytskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-12 in 22
Shcherbak
Wrong
gap of 2 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ivanytskyi 1015 vs Shcherbak 957
Ivanytskyi
Correct
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ivanytskyi 80% vs Shcherbak 60%
Ivanytskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ivanytskyi 80% vs Shcherbak 60%
Ivanytskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ivanytskyi -1 · Shcherbak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Ivanytskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shcherbak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIvanytskyi 1.44 / Shcherbak 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Ivanytskyi)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13043922
Ivanytskyi1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 67 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it100% 37 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it87% 52 of 60
Shcherbak2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog28% won 26 of 94
Down 0–1, comes back15% 10 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIvanytskyi7wins
AwayShcherbak3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderIvanytskyi leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIvanytskyi85.7%6 of 7
AwayShcherbak66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ivanytskyi7Shcherbak3n = 10Ivanytskyi took 7 of 10
S2Ivanytskyi5Shcherbak5n = 10split evenly
S3Ivanytskyi7Shcherbak3n = 10Ivanytskyi took 7 of 10
S4Ivanytskyi3Shcherbak3n = 6split evenly
S5Ivanytskyi3Shcherbak2n = 5Ivanytskyi took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricIvanytskyiShcherbakI − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.838.8+3.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIvanytskyiShcherbakBasisWin rate · lifetime95 / 158 vs 140 / 25660.1%54.7%95 / 158 vs 140 / 256Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.435.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvanytskyiIvanytskyi 1.44/Shcherbak 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.3%
Ivanytskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ivanytskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 08:25V. Ivanytskyi—3111211113Y. Shcherbak—111310882
LAug 26 · 15:25V. Ivanytskyi—1110117122Y. Shcherbak—812711143
LAug 22 · 09:55V. Ivanytskyi—106111462Y. Shcherbak—1211312113
WAug 21 · 14:55V. Ivanytskyi—111011173Y. Shcherbak—9126151
WAug 14 · 18:55V. Ivanytskyi—1411113Y. Shcherbak—12890
LAug 11 · 04:55V. Ivanytskyi—11860Y. Shcherbak—1311113
WAug 10 · 14:55V. Ivanytskyi—1112113Y. Shcherbak—61070
WJul 23 · 09:25V. Ivanytskyi—1111113Y. Shcherbak—8570
WJul 22 · 12:55V. Ivanytskyi—111168113Y. Shcherbak—96111182
WJul 16 · 08:25V. Ivanytskyi—111178113Y. Shcherbak—93111192
V. Ivanytskyi10
LSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132WSep 3 · 09:55O. Maksymkiv1.4411119992V. Ivanytskyi2.63751111113WSep 3 · 08:25M. Treschetka1.40117118162V. Ivanytskyi2.75711711183WSep 3 · 06:25A. Nikolenko2.637370V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113WSep 3 · 04:25M. Dunas1.5011119692V. Ivanytskyi2.40041111113LSep 2 · 18:25Y. Melnyk1.731111113V. Ivanytskyi2.006870LSep 2 · 17:25M. Dunas1.671112113V. Ivanytskyi2.1081070WSep 2 · 15:55A. Nikolenko2.6371111862V. Ivanytskyi1.44117811113WSep 2 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi1.50117541V. Ivanytskyi2.5071111113LSep 2 · 11:55M. Treschetka1.611111113V. Ivanytskyi2.209930
Y. Shcherbak10
LAug 30 · 09:55Y. Shcherbak1.36971191P. Melnichuk3.0011115113WAug 30 · 07:55V. Sydorchuk4.00119118112Y. Shcherbak1.22811511133WAug 30 · 05:55O. Bolnyh4.50451151Y. Shcherbak1.1711113113WAug 30 · 04:55P. Chyzh2.00119591Y. Shcherbak1.7371111113LAug 29 · 17:55Y. Melnyk1.251111118123Y. Shcherbak3.75136711102LAug 29 · 16:55Y. Shcherbak1.17611711112V. Sydorchuk4.50119112133WAug 29 · 15:55Y. Shcherbak1.201111113O. Bolnyh4.335480WAug 29 · 14:25Y. Shcherbak2.101314113P. Chyzh1.67111270WAug 29 · 12:25Y. Shcherbak1.5311611113P. Melnichuk2.38911171LAug 27 · 10:25P. Melnichuk2.63141111113Y. Shcherbak1.44164781
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