TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066722
Played Sep 3Finished
Oleksandr Maslovskyi
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1161210811711113
Viktor Ivanytskyi
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Maslovskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Maslovskyi above · Viktor Ivanytskyi below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 90 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Oleksandr Maslovskyi at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Maslovskyi 3–2 Viktor Ivanytskyi Viktor Ivanytskyi has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:38What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Maslovskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maslovskyi 1074 vs Ivanytskyi 1100
Ivanytskyi
Wrong
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maslovskyi 60% vs Ivanytskyi 80%
Ivanytskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maslovskyi 40% vs Ivanytskyi 70%
Ivanytskyi
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maslovskyi +1 · Ivanytskyi +4
Ivanytskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Maslovskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivanytskyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaslovskyi 1.73 / Ivanytskyi 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Maslovskyi)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13066722
Maslovskyi1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 114 of 181
Up 2–0, closes it91% 60 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it78% 81 of 104
Ivanytskyi2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 25 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back28% 11 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeMaslovskyi3wins
AwayIvanytskyi2wins
1 of 5 to a deciderMaslovskyi leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaslovskyi66.7%2 of 3
AwayIvanytskyin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maslovskyi3Ivanytskyi2n = 5Maslovskyi took 3 of 5
S2Maslovskyi2Ivanytskyi3n = 5Ivanytskyi took 3 of 5
S3Maslovskyi2Ivanytskyi3n = 5Ivanytskyi took 3 of 5
S4Maslovskyi2Ivanytskyi1n = 3Maslovskyi took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricMaslovskyiIvanytskyiM − IBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match32.633.0−0.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaslovskyiIvanytskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime436 / 862 vs 102 / 16850.6%60.7%436 / 862 vs 102 / 168Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaslovskyiMaslovskyi 1.73/Ivanytskyi 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Maslovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Maslovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 2 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi—117541V. Ivanytskyi—71111113
WJul 30 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi—811911113V. Ivanytskyi—11811792
WMay 9 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi—11411113V. Ivanytskyi—411991
WMar 12 · 07:25O. Maslovskyi—1111113V. Ivanytskyi—2650
LMar 11 · 19:25O. Maslovskyi—3580V. Ivanytskyi—1111113
O. Maslovskyi10
WSep 3 · 08:55M. Dunas1.57118781O. Maslovskyi2.2591111113LSep 3 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi4.3391111672O. Maksymkiv1.20116611113WSep 3 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.0065111182O. Maslovskyi1.73111189113WSep 3 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.36111116113A. Nikolenko3.00471841LSep 2 · 18:55O. Maslovskyi2.00241181M. Dunas1.7311119113WSep 2 · 16:55A. Nikolenko3.00155331O. Maslovskyi1.36131111113LSep 2 · 14:55M. Treschetka2.2051111113O. Maslovskyi1.61115471LSep 2 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi1.50117541V. Ivanytskyi2.5071111113LSep 2 · 12:55Y. Melnyk2.75129117113O. Maslovskyi1.40101131172LAug 31 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi4.33149881O. Maksymkiv1.20121111113
V. Ivanytskyi10
WSep 3 · 09:55O. Maksymkiv1.4411119992V. Ivanytskyi2.63751111113WSep 3 · 08:25M. Treschetka1.40117118162V. Ivanytskyi2.75711711183WSep 3 · 06:25A. Nikolenko2.637370V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113WSep 3 · 04:25M. Dunas1.5011119692V. Ivanytskyi2.40041111113LSep 2 · 18:25Y. Melnyk1.731111113V. Ivanytskyi2.006870LSep 2 · 17:25M. Dunas1.671112113V. Ivanytskyi2.1081070WSep 2 · 15:55A. Nikolenko2.6371111862V. Ivanytskyi1.44117811113WSep 2 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi1.50117541V. Ivanytskyi2.5071111113LSep 2 · 11:55M. Treschetka1.611111113V. Ivanytskyi2.209930WAug 30 · 11:25V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113Y. Shcherbak2.638980
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