TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061016
Played Sep 2Finished
Yuriy Melnyk
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1210911113711117
Oleksandr Maslovskyi
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:14 and never touched — 67.5% is still 67.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Maslovskyi to win
67.5%
67.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYuriy Melnyk above · Oleksandr Maslovskyi below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 92 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Oleksandr Maslovskyi at 67.5%
92 points played in total.
H2H Yuriy Melnyk 5–12 Oleksandr Maslovskyi Yuriy Melnyk has won 5 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:14What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Maslovskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-12 in 17
Maslovskyi
Wrong
gap of 7 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Melnyk 1070 vs Maslovskyi 1084
Maslovskyi
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melnyk 100% vs Maslovskyi 40%
Melnyk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melnyk 50% vs Maslovskyi 30%
Melnyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Melnyk +5 · Maslovskyi -2
Melnyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Maslovskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maslovskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelnyk 2.75 / Maslovskyi 1.40
Signal prob.33% / 68%
Edge (Maslovskyi)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13061016
Melnyk2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 19 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back25% 7 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Maslovskyi1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 113 of 177
Up 2–0, closes it91% 60 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it79% 81 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMelnyk4wins
AwayMaslovskyi6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMaslovskyi leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelnyk100%3 of 3
AwayMaslovskyi85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melnyk3Maslovskyi7n = 10Maslovskyi took 7 of 10
S2Melnyk2Maslovskyi8n = 10Maslovskyi took 8 of 10
S3Melnyk3Maslovskyi7n = 10Maslovskyi took 7 of 10
S4Melnyk2Maslovskyi3n = 5Maslovskyi took 3 of 5
S5Melnyk3Maslovskyi0n = 3Melnyk took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricMelnykMaslovskyiMelnyk − MaslovskyiBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.738.1−5.4per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelnykMaslovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime112 / 211 vs 437 / 86253.1%50.7%112 / 211 vs 437 / 862Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaslovskyiMelnyk 2.75/Maslovskyi 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.5%
Maslovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Melnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 27 · 11:25Y. Melnyk—4350O. Maslovskyi—1111113
WMar 27 · 13:55Y. Melnyk—11116113O. Maslovskyi—971151
LMar 18 · 19:25Y. Melnyk—10470O. Maslovskyi—1211113
WMar 11 · 13:55Y. Melnyk—771111113O. Maslovskyi—11119942
WJan 28 · 13:55Y. Melnyk—1111118113O. Maslovskyi—91391162
WDec 17 · 09:55Y. Melnyk—116116113O. Maslovskyi—51151182
LDec 16 · 13:55Y. Melnyk—51111151O. Maslovskyi—11813173
LOct 30 · 13:55Y. Melnyk—9990O. Maslovskyi—1111113
LOct 7 · 06:55Y. Melnyk—610100O. Maslovskyi—1112123
LAug 5 · 12:55Y. Melnyk—6370O. Maslovskyi—1111113
Y. Melnyk10
WSep 2 · 18:25Y. Melnyk1.731111113V. Ivanytskyi2.006870LSep 2 · 16:25M. Treschetka1.401111113Y. Melnyk2.756650WSep 2 · 15:25Y. Melnyk1.801111113M. Dunas1.916860WSep 2 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.80911761Y. Melnyk1.9111211113WAug 29 · 17:55Y. Melnyk1.251111118123Y. Shcherbak3.75136711102WAug 29 · 16:25Y. Melnyk1.671112113P. Chyzh2.1021070WAug 29 · 14:55Y. Melnyk1.171181211113V. Sydorchuk4.50131110732WAug 29 · 13:25Y. Melnyk1.2261111113P. Melnichuk4.00114771WAug 29 · 11:55Y. Melnyk1.171111113O. Bolnyh4.507870LJul 27 · 11:25O. Maslovskyi1.441111113Y. Melnyk2.634350
O. Maslovskyi10
WSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132WSep 3 · 08:55M. Dunas1.57118781O. Maslovskyi2.2591111113LSep 3 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi4.3391111672O. Maksymkiv1.20116611113WSep 3 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.0065111182O. Maslovskyi1.73111189113WSep 3 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.36111116113A. Nikolenko3.00471841LSep 2 · 18:55O. Maslovskyi2.00241181M. Dunas1.7311119113WSep 2 · 16:55A. Nikolenko3.00155331O. Maslovskyi1.36131111113LSep 2 · 14:55M. Treschetka2.2051111113O. Maslovskyi1.61115471LSep 2 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi1.50117541V. Ivanytskyi2.5071111113WJul 27 · 11:25O. Maslovskyi1.441111113Y. Melnyk2.634350
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