TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12306722
Played Jul 27Finished
Oleksandr Maslovskyi
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114113115––––
Yuriy Melnyk
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:24 and never touched — 61.9% is still 61.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Maslovskyi to win
61.9%
61.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Maslovskyi above · Yuriy Melnyk below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 45 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Oleksandr Maslovskyi at 61.9%
45 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Maslovskyi 11–5 Yuriy Melnyk Yuriy Melnyk has won 5 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:24What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Maslovskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-5 in 16
Maslovskyi
Correct
gap of 6 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maslovskyi 1177 vs Melnyk 1075
Maslovskyi
Correct
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maslovskyi 60% vs Melnyk 20%
Maslovskyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maslovskyi 50% vs Melnyk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maslovskyi +1 · Melnyk -4
Melnyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Melnyk) · live re-read · sealed at 38% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melnyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaslovskyi 1.53 / Melnyk 2.38
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Melnyk)+24.6pp
Setka Cup · #12306722
Maslovskyi1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 113 of 177
Up 2–0, closes it92% 60 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it81% 79 of 97
Melnyk2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 27 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back29% 9 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back15% 3 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaslovskyi6wins
AwayMelnyk4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMaslovskyi leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaslovskyi85.7%6 of 7
AwayMelnyk100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maslovskyi7Melnyk3n = 10Maslovskyi took 7 of 10
S2Maslovskyi7Melnyk3n = 10Maslovskyi took 7 of 10
S3Maslovskyi7Melnyk3n = 10Maslovskyi took 7 of 10
S4Maslovskyi4Melnyk2n = 6Maslovskyi took 4 of 6
S5Maslovskyi0Melnyk3n = 3Melnyk took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaslovskyiMelnykMaslovskyi − MelnykBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.634.5+4.1per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaslovskyiMelnykBasisWin rate · lifetime440 / 845 vs 116 / 22552.1%51.6%440 / 845 vs 116 / 225Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelnykMaslovskyi 1.53/Melnyk 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.8%
Melnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Maslovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMar 27 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi—971151Y. Melnyk—11116113
WMar 18 · 19:25O. Maslovskyi—1211113Y. Melnyk—10470
LMar 11 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi—11119942Y. Melnyk—771111113
LJan 28 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi—91391162Y. Melnyk—1111118113
LDec 17 · 09:55O. Maslovskyi—51151182Y. Melnyk—116116113
WDec 16 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi—11813173Y. Melnyk—51111151
WOct 30 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi—1111113Y. Melnyk—9990
WOct 7 · 06:55O. Maslovskyi—1112123Y. Melnyk—610100
WAug 5 · 12:55O. Maslovskyi—1111113Y. Melnyk—6370
WJul 23 · 06:55O. Maslovskyi—11511113Y. Melnyk—511861
O. Maslovskyi10
WSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132WSep 3 · 08:55M. Dunas1.57118781O. Maslovskyi2.2591111113LSep 3 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi4.3391111672O. Maksymkiv1.20116611113WSep 3 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.0065111182O. Maslovskyi1.73111189113WSep 3 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.36111116113A. Nikolenko3.00471841LSep 2 · 18:55O. Maslovskyi2.00241181M. Dunas1.7311119113WSep 2 · 16:55A. Nikolenko3.00155331O. Maslovskyi1.36131111113LSep 2 · 14:55M. Treschetka2.2051111113O. Maslovskyi1.61115471LSep 2 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi1.50117541V. Ivanytskyi2.5071111113LSep 2 · 12:55Y. Melnyk2.75129117113O. Maslovskyi1.40101131172
Y. Melnyk10
WSep 2 · 18:25Y. Melnyk1.731111113V. Ivanytskyi2.006870LSep 2 · 16:25M. Treschetka1.401111113Y. Melnyk2.756650WSep 2 · 15:25Y. Melnyk1.801111113M. Dunas1.916860WSep 2 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.80911761Y. Melnyk1.9111211113WSep 2 · 12:55Y. Melnyk2.75129117113O. Maslovskyi1.40101131172WAug 29 · 17:55Y. Melnyk1.251111118123Y. Shcherbak3.75136711102WAug 29 · 16:25Y. Melnyk1.671112113P. Chyzh2.1021070WAug 29 · 14:55Y. Melnyk1.171181211113V. Sydorchuk4.50131110732WAug 29 · 13:25Y. Melnyk1.2261111113P. Melnichuk4.00114771WAug 29 · 11:55Y. Melnyk1.171111113O. Bolnyh4.507870
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