TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060842
Played Sep 2Finished
Anatolii Nikolenko
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911112711611––
Yuriy Melnyk
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Nikolenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAnatolii Nikolenko above · Yuriy Melnyk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 68 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Anatolii Nikolenko at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Nikolenko 27–10 Yuriy Melnyk Yuriy Melnyk has won 10 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:04What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Nikolenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-10 in 37
Nikolenko
Wrong
gap of 17 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nikolenko 1039 vs Melnyk 1082
Melnyk
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nikolenko 40% vs Melnyk 100%
Melnyk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nikolenko 70% vs Melnyk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Nikolenko -1 · Melnyk +5
Melnyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Nikolenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melnyk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNikolenko 1.80 / Melnyk 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Nikolenko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13060842
Nikolenko1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 94 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it98% 57 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it86% 72 of 84
Melnyk1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 19 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back25% 7 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNikolenko4wins
AwayMelnyk6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderMelnyk leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNikolenko50%2 of 4
AwayMelnyk66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nikolenko4Melnyk6n = 10Melnyk took 6 of 10
S2Nikolenko5Melnyk5n = 10split evenly
S3Nikolenko6Melnyk4n = 10Nikolenko took 6 of 10
S4Nikolenko4Melnyk4n = 8split evenly
S5Nikolenko2Melnyk4n = 6Melnyk took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricNikolenkoMelnykN − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.641.8−1.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNikolenkoMelnykBasisWin rate · lifetime331 / 694 vs 113 / 21247.7%53.3%331 / 694 vs 113 / 212Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NikolenkoNikolenko 1.80/Melnyk 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Nikolenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Melnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 16 · 05:25A. Nikolenko—911691Y. Melnyk—11711113
LJun 24 · 14:55A. Nikolenko—113121352Y. Melnyk—7111015113
LJun 6 · 06:55A. Nikolenko—8760Y. Melnyk—1111113
LJun 5 · 18:25A. Nikolenko—31171152Y. Melnyk—119118113
LMay 30 · 05:25A. Nikolenko—71111662Y. Melnyk—118911113
WMay 22 · 14:25A. Nikolenko—1191111143Y. Melnyk—131158122
LMay 16 · 08:55A. Nikolenko—13991222Y. Melnyk—11111110113
WMay 8 · 14:25A. Nikolenko—1111147113Y. Melnyk—132121182
WApr 29 · 14:25A. Nikolenko—11711113Y. Melnyk—211571
WApr 15 · 05:25A. Nikolenko—1111113Y. Melnyk—3860
A. Nikolenko10
WSep 3 · 11:25A. Nikolenko3.25121211113O. Maksymkiv1.331410141LSep 3 · 09:25M. Treschetka1.67711119163A. Nikolenko2.10118811142LSep 3 · 07:25M. Dunas1.671113125113A. Nikolenko2.10711141122LSep 3 · 06:25A. Nikolenko2.637370V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113LSep 3 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.36111116113A. Nikolenko3.00471841LSep 2 · 17:55M. Treschetka1.731112123A. Nikolenko2.00910100LSep 2 · 16:55A. Nikolenko3.00155331O. Maslovskyi1.36131111113LSep 2 · 15:55A. Nikolenko2.6371111862V. Ivanytskyi1.44117811113LSep 2 · 12:25A. Nikolenko1.73171191142M. Dunas2.00198118113WAug 27 · 11:25A. Nikolenko1.141111113O. Bolnyh5.005540
Y. Melnyk10
WSep 2 · 18:25Y. Melnyk1.731111113V. Ivanytskyi2.006870LSep 2 · 16:25M. Treschetka1.401111113Y. Melnyk2.756650WSep 2 · 15:25Y. Melnyk1.801111113M. Dunas1.916860WSep 2 · 12:55Y. Melnyk2.75129117113O. Maslovskyi1.40101131172WAug 29 · 17:55Y. Melnyk1.251111118123Y. Shcherbak3.75136711102WAug 29 · 16:25Y. Melnyk1.671112113P. Chyzh2.1021070WAug 29 · 14:55Y. Melnyk1.171181211113V. Sydorchuk4.50131110732WAug 29 · 13:25Y. Melnyk1.2261111113P. Melnichuk4.00114771WAug 29 · 11:55Y. Melnyk1.171111113O. Bolnyh4.507870LJul 27 · 11:25O. Maslovskyi1.441111113Y. Melnyk2.634350
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