TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061136
Played Sep 2Finished
Anatolii Nikolenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1719118911118411
Mykhailo Dunas
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Nikolenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAnatolii Nikolenko above · Mykhailo Dunas below
Set 1 · 17-19
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 109 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Anatolii Nikolenko at 54.0%
109 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Nikolenko 1–0 Mykhailo Dunas Mykhailo Dunas has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:55What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Nikolenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Nikolenko 1049 vs Dunas 1099
Dunas
Correct
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nikolenko 60% vs Dunas 0%
Nikolenko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nikolenko 70% vs Dunas 20%
Nikolenko
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nikolenko +2 · Dunas -5
Dunas
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Nikolenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dunas form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNikolenko 1.73 / Dunas 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Nikolenko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13061136
Nikolenko1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 94 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it98% 57 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it86% 72 of 84
Dunas2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 10 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back10% 2 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeNikolenko1wins
AwayDunas0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderNikolenko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricNikolenkoDunasN − DBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match47.038.0+9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNikolenkoDunasBasisWin rate · lifetime332 / 694 vs 15 / 4347.8%34.9%332 / 694 vs 15 / 43Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.035.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NikolenkoNikolenko 1.73/Dunas 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Nikolenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dunas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 19 · 17:25A. Nikolenko—711711113M. Dunas—11511652
A. Nikolenko10
WSep 3 · 11:25A. Nikolenko3.25121211113O. Maksymkiv1.331410141LSep 3 · 09:25M. Treschetka1.67711119163A. Nikolenko2.10118811142LSep 3 · 07:25M. Dunas1.671113125113A. Nikolenko2.10711141122LSep 3 · 06:25A. Nikolenko2.637370V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113LSep 3 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.36111116113A. Nikolenko3.00471841LSep 2 · 17:55M. Treschetka1.731112123A. Nikolenko2.00910100LSep 2 · 16:55A. Nikolenko3.00155331O. Maslovskyi1.36131111113LSep 2 · 15:55A. Nikolenko2.6371111862V. Ivanytskyi1.44117811113LSep 2 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.80911761Y. Melnyk1.9111211113WAug 27 · 11:25A. Nikolenko1.141111113O. Bolnyh5.005540
M. Dunas10
LSep 3 · 10:25M. Dunas2.206780M. Treschetka1.611111113LSep 3 · 08:55M. Dunas1.57118781O. Maslovskyi2.2591111113WSep 3 · 07:25M. Dunas1.671113125113A. Nikolenko2.10711141122LSep 3 · 05:55M. Dunas3.40971541O. Maksymkiv1.30111113113LSep 3 · 04:25M. Dunas1.5011119692V. Ivanytskyi2.40041111113WSep 2 · 18:55O. Maslovskyi2.00241181M. Dunas1.7311119113WSep 2 · 17:25M. Dunas1.671112113V. Ivanytskyi2.1081070LSep 2 · 15:25Y. Melnyk1.801111113M. Dunas1.916860LSep 2 · 13:25M. Treschetka1.8351111113M. Dunas1.83119421LAug 31 · 11:25M. Vivatenko1.61131129113M. Dunas2.20115111192
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