TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066859
Played Sep 3Finished
Mykhailo Dunas
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611711811––––
Mykolay Treschetka
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:09 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeMykolay Treschetka to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingMykhailo Dunas above · Mykolay Treschetka below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 54 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Mykolay Treschetka at 60.9%
54 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Dunas 3–4 Mykolay Treschetka Mykhailo Dunas has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:09What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Treschetka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dunas 1091 vs Treschetka 1193
Treschetka
Correct
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dunas 40% vs Treschetka 60%
Treschetka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dunas 40% vs Treschetka 70%
Treschetka
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dunas -1 · Treschetka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Treschetka)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDunas 2.20 / Treschetka 1.61
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Treschetka)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13066859
Dunas2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 11 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back10% 2 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Treschetka1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 84 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it91% 40 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it80% 59 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeDunas3wins
AwayTreschetka4wins
3 of 7 to a deciderTreschetka leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDunas60%3 of 5
AwayTreschetkan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dunas5Treschetka2n = 7Dunas took 5 of 7
S2Dunas3Treschetka4n = 7Treschetka took 4 of 7
S3Dunas3Treschetka4n = 7Treschetka took 4 of 7
S4Dunas2Treschetka3n = 5Treschetka took 3 of 5
S5Dunas1Treschetka2n = 3Treschetka took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricDunasTreschetkaD − TBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match37.638.9−1.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDunasTreschetkaBasisWin rate · lifetime19 / 52 vs 486 / 95736.5%50.8%19 / 52 vs 486 / 957Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TreschetkaDunas 2.20/Treschetka 1.61
Hit
What we said
60.9%
Treschetka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Treschetka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 2 · 13:25M. Dunas—119421M. Treschetka—51111113
LAug 31 · 04:55M. Dunas—1111111092M. Treschetka—913512113
WAug 30 · 18:25M. Dunas—1411113M. Treschetka—12970
WAug 28 · 05:55M. Dunas—111115113M. Treschetka—491721
LAug 27 · 12:25M. Dunas—8360M. Treschetka—1111113
LAug 20 · 04:25M. Dunas—85111132M. Treschetka—111195113
WAug 14 · 04:25M. Dunas—111545113M. Treschetka—413111152
M. Dunas10
LSep 3 · 08:55M. Dunas1.57118781O. Maslovskyi2.2591111113WSep 3 · 07:25M. Dunas1.671113125113A. Nikolenko2.10711141122LSep 3 · 05:55M. Dunas3.40971541O. Maksymkiv1.30111113113LSep 3 · 04:25M. Dunas1.5011119692V. Ivanytskyi2.40041111113WSep 2 · 18:55O. Maslovskyi2.00241181M. Dunas1.7311119113WSep 2 · 17:25M. Dunas1.671112113V. Ivanytskyi2.1081070LSep 2 · 15:25Y. Melnyk1.801111113M. Dunas1.916860LSep 2 · 13:25M. Treschetka1.8351111113M. Dunas1.83119421WSep 2 · 12:25A. Nikolenko1.73171191142M. Dunas2.00198118113LAug 31 · 11:25M. Vivatenko1.61131129113M. Dunas2.20115111192
M. Treschetka10
LSep 7 · 08:25M. Treschetka2.101110731V. Salivonchyk1.6761211113LSep 7 · 06:55M. Treschetka1.404911111O. Maksymkiv2.7511116133LSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:55M. Treschetka2.10861241V. Kheresko1.67111110113WSep 6 · 16:55V. Salivonchyk1.73771181M. Treschetka2.0011111103WSep 6 · 14:55O. Sapuzhak2.38116841M. Treschetka1.5381111113WSep 6 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.3611911113O. Maksymkiv3.00611861LSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520WSep 3 · 09:25M. Treschetka1.67711119163A. Nikolenko2.10118811142WSep 2 · 13:25M. Treschetka1.8351111113M. Dunas1.83119421
Upcoming Matches
M. Dunas
Nothing scheduled
M. Treschetka
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