TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061011
Played Sep 2Finished
Yuriy Melnyk
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116118116––––
Mykhailo Dunas
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYuriy Melnyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYuriy Melnyk above · Mykhailo Dunas below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 53 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Yuriy Melnyk at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Yuriy Melnyk 1–0 Mykhailo Dunas Mykhailo Dunas has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:13What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Melnyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Melnyk 1108 vs Dunas 1084
Melnyk
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melnyk 100% vs Dunas 20%
Melnyk
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melnyk 70% vs Dunas 20%
Melnyk
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Melnyk +5 · Dunas -1
Melnyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Melnyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dunas form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelnyk 1.80 / Dunas 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Melnyk)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13061011
Melnyk1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite73% won 30 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it82% 22 of 27
Dunas1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 10 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back10% 2 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMelnyk1wins
AwayDunas0wins
Melnyk leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMelnykDunasM − DBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.020.0+13.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelnykDunasBasisWin rate · lifetime115 / 214 vs 16 / 4653.7%34.8%115 / 214 vs 16 / 46Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.035.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelnykMelnyk 1.80/Dunas 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Melnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Melnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 2 · 15:25Y. Melnyk—1111113M. Dunas—6860
Y. Melnyk10
WSep 2 · 18:25Y. Melnyk1.731111113V. Ivanytskyi2.006870LSep 2 · 16:25M. Treschetka1.401111113Y. Melnyk2.756650WSep 2 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.80911761Y. Melnyk1.9111211113WSep 2 · 12:55Y. Melnyk2.75129117113O. Maslovskyi1.40101131172WAug 29 · 17:55Y. Melnyk1.251111118123Y. Shcherbak3.75136711102WAug 29 · 16:25Y. Melnyk1.671112113P. Chyzh2.1021070WAug 29 · 14:55Y. Melnyk1.171181211113V. Sydorchuk4.50131110732WAug 29 · 13:25Y. Melnyk1.2261111113P. Melnichuk4.00114771WAug 29 · 11:55Y. Melnyk1.171111113O. Bolnyh4.507870LJul 27 · 11:25O. Maslovskyi1.441111113Y. Melnyk2.634350
M. Dunas10
LSep 3 · 10:25M. Dunas2.206780M. Treschetka1.611111113LSep 3 · 08:55M. Dunas1.57118781O. Maslovskyi2.2591111113WSep 3 · 07:25M. Dunas1.671113125113A. Nikolenko2.10711141122LSep 3 · 05:55M. Dunas3.40971541O. Maksymkiv1.30111113113LSep 3 · 04:25M. Dunas1.5011119692V. Ivanytskyi2.40041111113WSep 2 · 18:55O. Maslovskyi2.00241181M. Dunas1.7311119113WSep 2 · 17:25M. Dunas1.671112113V. Ivanytskyi2.1081070LSep 2 · 13:25M. Treschetka1.8351111113M. Dunas1.83119421WSep 2 · 12:25A. Nikolenko1.73171191142M. Dunas2.00198118113LAug 31 · 11:25M. Vivatenko1.61131129113M. Dunas2.20115111192
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