TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061844
Played Sep 2Finished
Mykolay Treschetka
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116116115––––
Yuriy Melnyk
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:33 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeMykolay Treschetka to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykolay Treschetka above · Yuriy Melnyk below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 50 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Mykolay Treschetka at 67.9%
50 points played in total.
H2H Mykolay Treschetka 5–2 Yuriy Melnyk Yuriy Melnyk has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:33What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Treschetka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Treschetka
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Treschetka 1204 vs Melnyk 1108
Treschetka
Correct
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Treschetka 80% vs Melnyk 100%
Melnyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Treschetka 60% vs Melnyk 80%
Melnyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Treschetka +3 · Melnyk +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Treschetka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melnyk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTreschetka 1.40 / Melnyk 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Treschetka)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13061844
Treschetka1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 80 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it90% 37 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it79% 56 of 71
Melnyk2.75
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 19 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back25% 7 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeTreschetka5wins
AwayMelnyk2wins
1 of 7 to a deciderTreschetka leads 5–2, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTreschetka80%4 of 5
AwayMelnykn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Treschetka5Melnyk2n = 7Treschetka took 5 of 7
S2Treschetka5Melnyk2n = 7Treschetka took 5 of 7
S3Treschetka5Melnyk2n = 7Treschetka took 5 of 7
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home457%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricTreschetkaMelnykT − MBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match34.327.7+6.6per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTreschetkaMelnykBasisWin rate · lifetime484 / 954 vs 115 / 21450.7%53.7%484 / 954 vs 115 / 214Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TreschetkaTreschetka 1.40/Melnyk 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Treschetka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Treschetka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WJul 27 · 09:55M. Treschetka—1111113Y. Melnyk—5840
LSep 14 · 15:25M. Treschetka—105110Y. Melnyk—1211133
WJul 19 · 07:55M. Treschetka—1111113Y. Melnyk—9470
LJul 12 · 06:55M. Treschetka—1181171Y. Melnyk—81113113
WApr 26 · 07:55M. Treschetka—811114113Y. Melnyk—11551142
WApr 24 · 12:55M. Treschetka—1111113Y. Melnyk—4960
WMar 6 · 14:55M. Treschetka—1111113Y. Melnyk—9860
M. Treschetka10
LSep 7 · 08:25M. Treschetka2.101110731V. Salivonchyk1.6761211113LSep 7 · 06:55M. Treschetka1.404911111O. Maksymkiv2.7511116133LSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:55M. Treschetka2.10861241V. Kheresko1.67111110113WSep 6 · 16:55V. Salivonchyk1.73771181M. Treschetka2.0011111103WSep 6 · 14:55O. Sapuzhak2.38116841M. Treschetka1.5381111113WSep 6 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.3611911113O. Maksymkiv3.00611861LSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520WSep 3 · 10:25M. Dunas2.206780M. Treschetka1.611111113WSep 3 · 09:25M. Treschetka1.67711119163A. Nikolenko2.10118811142
Y. Melnyk10
WSep 2 · 18:25Y. Melnyk1.731111113V. Ivanytskyi2.006870WSep 2 · 15:25Y. Melnyk1.801111113M. Dunas1.916860WSep 2 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.80911761Y. Melnyk1.9111211113WSep 2 · 12:55Y. Melnyk2.75129117113O. Maslovskyi1.40101131172WAug 29 · 17:55Y. Melnyk1.251111118123Y. Shcherbak3.75136711102WAug 29 · 16:25Y. Melnyk1.671112113P. Chyzh2.1021070WAug 29 · 14:55Y. Melnyk1.171181211113V. Sydorchuk4.50131110732WAug 29 · 13:25Y. Melnyk1.2261111113P. Melnichuk4.00114771WAug 29 · 11:55Y. Melnyk1.171111113O. Bolnyh4.507870LJul 27 · 11:25O. Maslovskyi1.441111113Y. Melnyk2.634350
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