TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13066982
Played Sep 3Finished
Mykolay Treschetka
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111181189111614
Anatolii Nikolenko
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMykolay Treschetka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingMykolay Treschetka above · Anatolii Nikolenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 16-14
Point 106 set 5, 16-14 — our read held Mykolay Treschetka at 54.0%
106 points played in total.
H2H Mykolay Treschetka 22–29 Anatolii Nikolenko Mykolay Treschetka has won 22 of their 51 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:47What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Treschetka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-29 in 51
Nikolenko
Wrong
gap of 7 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Treschetka 1188 vs Nikolenko 967
Treschetka
Correct
both rated, 222 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Treschetka 60% vs Nikolenko 0%
Treschetka
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Treschetka 70% vs Nikolenko 20%
Treschetka
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Treschetka -2 · Nikolenko -5
Nikolenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Treschetka) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nikolenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTreschetka 1.67 / Nikolenko 2.10
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Treschetka)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13066982
Treschetka1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 84 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it91% 40 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it80% 59 of 74
Nikolenko2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog31% won 38 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back20% 15 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTreschetka6wins
AwayNikolenko4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderTreschetka leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTreschetka100%5 of 5
AwayNikolenko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Treschetka5Nikolenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Treschetka8Nikolenko2n = 10Treschetka took 8 of 10
S3Treschetka4Nikolenko6n = 10Nikolenko took 6 of 10
S4Treschetka5Nikolenko3n = 8Treschetka took 5 of 8
S5Treschetka2Nikolenko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTreschetkaNikolenkoT − NBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.940.1+1.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTreschetkaNikolenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime485 / 956 vs 328 / 69450.7%47.3%485 / 956 vs 328 / 694Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TreschetkaTreschetka 1.67/Nikolenko 2.10
Hit
What we said
58.2%
Treschetka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Treschetka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 17:55M. Treschetka—1112123A. Nikolenko—910100
WMay 25 · 09:25M. Treschetka—1111113A. Nikolenko—8590
WMay 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka—117138113A. Nikolenko—811111172
LMay 6 · 16:55M. Treschetka—111291172A. Nikolenko—1310118113
LApr 20 · 04:55M. Treschetka—611581A. Nikolenko—11911113
LFeb 14 · 09:55M. Treschetka—791141A. Nikolenko—11116113
LJan 3 · 17:25M. Treschetka—911101182A. Nikolenko—117127113
WNov 13 · 10:25M. Treschetka—611719113A. Nikolenko—117111792
WNov 12 · 13:25M. Treschetka—11119113A. Nikolenko—561161
WNov 8 · 07:55M. Treschetka—111112113A. Nikolenko—781481
M. Treschetka10
LSep 7 · 08:25M. Treschetka2.101110731V. Salivonchyk1.6761211113LSep 7 · 06:55M. Treschetka1.404911111O. Maksymkiv2.7511116133LSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:55M. Treschetka2.10861241V. Kheresko1.67111110113WSep 6 · 16:55V. Salivonchyk1.73771181M. Treschetka2.0011111103WSep 6 · 14:55O. Sapuzhak2.38116841M. Treschetka1.5381111113WSep 6 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.3611911113O. Maksymkiv3.00611861LSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520WSep 3 · 10:25M. Dunas2.206780M. Treschetka1.611111113LSep 3 · 08:25M. Treschetka1.40117118162V. Ivanytskyi2.75711711183
A. Nikolenko10
WSep 3 · 11:25A. Nikolenko3.25121211113O. Maksymkiv1.331410141LSep 3 · 07:25M. Dunas1.671113125113A. Nikolenko2.10711141122LSep 3 · 06:25A. Nikolenko2.637370V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113LSep 3 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.36111116113A. Nikolenko3.00471841LSep 2 · 17:55M. Treschetka1.731112123A. Nikolenko2.00910100LSep 2 · 16:55A. Nikolenko3.00155331O. Maslovskyi1.36131111113LSep 2 · 15:55A. Nikolenko2.6371111862V. Ivanytskyi1.44117811113LSep 2 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.80911761Y. Melnyk1.9111211113LSep 2 · 12:25A. Nikolenko1.73171191142M. Dunas2.00198118113WAug 27 · 11:25A. Nikolenko1.141111113O. Bolnyh5.005540
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