TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061002
Played Sep 2Finished
Anatolii Nikolenko
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1513511311311––
Oleksandr Maslovskyi
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:13 and never touched — 70.4% is still 70.4%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Maslovskyi to win
70.4%
70.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatolii Nikolenko above · Oleksandr Maslovskyi below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 72 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Oleksandr Maslovskyi at 70.4%
72 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Nikolenko 28–80 Oleksandr Maslovskyi Anatolii Nikolenko has won 28 of their 108 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:13What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Maslovskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-80 in 108
Maslovskyi
Correct
gap of 52 in 108, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nikolenko 1017 vs Maslovskyi 1040
Maslovskyi
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nikolenko 40% vs Maslovskyi 0%
Nikolenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nikolenko 50% vs Maslovskyi 30%
Nikolenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nikolenko -3 · Maslovskyi -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Maslovskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maslovskyi form (0%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNikolenko 3.00 / Maslovskyi 1.36
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Maslovskyi)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13061002
Nikolenko3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog32% won 38 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back20% 15 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 43
Maslovskyi1.36
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 113 of 177
Up 2–0, closes it91% 60 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it79% 81 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNikolenko1wins
AwayMaslovskyi9wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMaslovskyi leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNikolenko0%0 of 3
AwayMaslovskyi85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nikolenko3Maslovskyi7n = 10Maslovskyi took 7 of 10
S2Nikolenko2Maslovskyi8n = 10Maslovskyi took 8 of 10
S3Nikolenko2Maslovskyi8n = 10Maslovskyi took 8 of 10
S4Nikolenko3Maslovskyi3n = 6split evenly
S5Nikolenko1Maslovskyi3n = 4Maslovskyi took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricNikolenkoMaslovskyiN − MBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.541.6−7.1per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNikolenkoMaslovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime331 / 694 vs 436 / 86347.7%50.5%331 / 694 vs 436 / 863Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaslovskyiNikolenko 3.00/Maslovskyi 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.4%
Maslovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Maslovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 22 · 11:25A. Nikolenko—61140O. Maslovskyi—1113113
LJun 21 · 16:25A. Nikolenko—11641182O. Maslovskyi—511119113
LJun 20 · 09:29A. Nikolenko—81170O. Maslovskyi—1113113
LJun 20 · 08:25A. Nikolenko—129931O. Maslovskyi—101111113
LJun 15 · 09:25A. Nikolenko—61191172O. Maslovskyi—113119113
LJun 14 · 17:55A. Nikolenko—7811131O. Maslovskyi—11118153
WJun 10 · 17:29A. Nikolenko—1011117113O. Maslovskyi—12891182
LJun 10 · 16:25A. Nikolenko—69110O. Maslovskyi—1111133
LMay 25 · 05:25A. Nikolenko—6590O. Maslovskyi—1111113
LMay 23 · 06:55A. Nikolenko—116101182O. Maslovskyi—911127113
A. Nikolenko10
WSep 3 · 11:25A. Nikolenko3.25121211113O. Maksymkiv1.331410141LSep 3 · 09:25M. Treschetka1.67711119163A. Nikolenko2.10118811142LSep 3 · 07:25M. Dunas1.671113125113A. Nikolenko2.10711141122LSep 3 · 06:25A. Nikolenko2.637370V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113LSep 3 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.36111116113A. Nikolenko3.00471841LSep 2 · 17:55M. Treschetka1.731112123A. Nikolenko2.00910100LSep 2 · 15:55A. Nikolenko2.6371111862V. Ivanytskyi1.44117811113LSep 2 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.80911761Y. Melnyk1.9111211113LSep 2 · 12:25A. Nikolenko1.73171191142M. Dunas2.00198118113WAug 27 · 11:25A. Nikolenko1.141111113O. Bolnyh5.005540
O. Maslovskyi10
WSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132WSep 3 · 08:55M. Dunas1.57118781O. Maslovskyi2.2591111113LSep 3 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi4.3391111672O. Maksymkiv1.20116611113WSep 3 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.0065111182O. Maslovskyi1.73111189113WSep 3 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.36111116113A. Nikolenko3.00471841LSep 2 · 18:55O. Maslovskyi2.00241181M. Dunas1.7311119113LSep 2 · 14:55M. Treschetka2.2051111113O. Maslovskyi1.61115471LSep 2 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi1.50117541V. Ivanytskyi2.5071111113LSep 2 · 12:55Y. Melnyk2.75129117113O. Maslovskyi1.40101131172LAug 31 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi4.33149881O. Maksymkiv1.20121111113
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