TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061533
Played Sep 2Finished
Mykolay Treschetka
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11912101210––––
Anatolii Nikolenko
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMykolay Treschetka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykolay Treschetka above · Anatolii Nikolenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 64 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Mykolay Treschetka at 54.0%
64 points played in total.
H2H Mykolay Treschetka 21–29 Anatolii Nikolenko Mykolay Treschetka has won 21 of their 50 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:43What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Treschetka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-29 in 50
Nikolenko
Wrong
gap of 8 in 50, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Treschetka 1214 vs Nikolenko 1005
Treschetka
Correct
both rated, 209 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Treschetka 80% vs Nikolenko 20%
Treschetka
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Treschetka 70% vs Nikolenko 40%
Treschetka
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Treschetka +4 · Nikolenko -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Treschetka) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nikolenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTreschetka 1.73 / Nikolenko 2.00
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Treschetka)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13061533
Treschetka1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 80 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it90% 37 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it79% 56 of 71
Nikolenko2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog32% won 38 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back20% 15 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTreschetka6wins
AwayNikolenko4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderTreschetka leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTreschetka100%4 of 4
AwayNikolenko66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Treschetka4Nikolenko6n = 10Nikolenko took 6 of 10
S2Treschetka8Nikolenko2n = 10Treschetka took 8 of 10
S3Treschetka4Nikolenko6n = 10Nikolenko took 6 of 10
S4Treschetka6Nikolenko3n = 9Treschetka took 6 of 9
S5Treschetka2Nikolenko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTreschetkaNikolenkoT − NBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.639.6+3.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTreschetkaNikolenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime485 / 954 vs 330 / 69450.8%47.6%485 / 954 vs 330 / 694Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TreschetkaTreschetka 1.73/Nikolenko 2.00
Hit
What we said
56.1%
Treschetka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Treschetka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 25 · 09:25M. Treschetka—1111113A. Nikolenko—8590
WMay 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka—117138113A. Nikolenko—811111172
LMay 6 · 16:55M. Treschetka—111291172A. Nikolenko—1310118113
LApr 20 · 04:55M. Treschetka—611581A. Nikolenko—11911113
LFeb 14 · 09:55M. Treschetka—791141A. Nikolenko—11116113
LJan 3 · 17:25M. Treschetka—911101182A. Nikolenko—117127113
WNov 13 · 10:25M. Treschetka—611719113A. Nikolenko—117111792
WNov 12 · 13:25M. Treschetka—11119113A. Nikolenko—561161
WNov 8 · 07:55M. Treschetka—111112113A. Nikolenko—781481
WNov 7 · 16:55M. Treschetka—91111113A. Nikolenko—115621
M. Treschetka10
LSep 7 · 08:25M. Treschetka2.101110731V. Salivonchyk1.6761211113LSep 7 · 06:55M. Treschetka1.404911111O. Maksymkiv2.7511116133LSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:55M. Treschetka2.10861241V. Kheresko1.67111110113WSep 6 · 16:55V. Salivonchyk1.73771181M. Treschetka2.0011111103WSep 6 · 14:55O. Sapuzhak2.38116841M. Treschetka1.5381111113WSep 6 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.3611911113O. Maksymkiv3.00611861LSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520WSep 3 · 10:25M. Dunas2.206780M. Treschetka1.611111113WSep 3 · 09:25M. Treschetka1.67711119163A. Nikolenko2.10118811142
A. Nikolenko10
WSep 3 · 11:25A. Nikolenko3.25121211113O. Maksymkiv1.331410141LSep 3 · 09:25M. Treschetka1.67711119163A. Nikolenko2.10118811142LSep 3 · 07:25M. Dunas1.671113125113A. Nikolenko2.10711141122LSep 3 · 06:25A. Nikolenko2.637370V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113LSep 3 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.36111116113A. Nikolenko3.00471841LSep 2 · 16:55A. Nikolenko3.00155331O. Maslovskyi1.36131111113LSep 2 · 15:55A. Nikolenko2.6371111862V. Ivanytskyi1.44117811113LSep 2 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.80911761Y. Melnyk1.9111211113LSep 2 · 12:25A. Nikolenko1.73171191142M. Dunas2.00198118113WAug 27 · 11:25A. Nikolenko1.141111113O. Bolnyh5.005540
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