TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084274
Played Sep 6Finished
Mykolay Treschetka
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8116111210411––
Vsevolod Kheresko
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVsevolod Kheresko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykolay Treschetka above · Vsevolod Kheresko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 73 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Vsevolod Kheresko at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Mykolay Treschetka 18–15 Vsevolod Kheresko Vsevolod Kheresko has won 15 of their 33 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:48What took a side1 for · 5 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kheresko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-15 in 33
Treschetka
Wrong
gap of 3 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Treschetka 1220 vs Kheresko 1178
Treschetka
Wrong
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Treschetka 80% vs Kheresko 40%
Treschetka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Treschetka 70% vs Kheresko 30%
Treschetka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Treschetka +3 · Kheresko -1
Treschetka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kheresko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kheresko form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTreschetka 2.10 / Kheresko 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kheresko)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13084274
Treschetka2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 92 of 218
Down 0–1, comes back24% 28 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back13% 9 of 70
Kheresko1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 91 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it95% 60 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it79% 75 of 95
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTreschetka5wins
AwayKheresko5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTreschetka66.7%4 of 6
AwayKheresko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Treschetka6Kheresko4n = 10Treschetka took 6 of 10
S2Treschetka6Kheresko4n = 10Treschetka took 6 of 10
S3Treschetka5Kheresko5n = 10split evenly
S4Treschetka5Kheresko3n = 8Treschetka took 5 of 8
S5Treschetka1Kheresko4n = 5Kheresko took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTreschetkaKhereskoT − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.636.4+2.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTreschetkaKhereskoBasisWin rate · lifetime479 / 948 vs 204 / 40950.5%49.9%479 / 948 vs 204 / 409Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhereskoTreschetka 2.10/Kheresko 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kheresko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kheresko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 20 · 05:55M. Treschetka—51271192V. Kheresko—1110119113
LAug 19 · 04:25M. Treschetka—90100V. Kheresko—1111123
WAug 10 · 04:55M. Treschetka—11114113V. Kheresko—271161
LAug 3 · 09:25M. Treschetka—1181110112V. Kheresko—611412133
WAug 2 · 14:25M. Treschetka—1111113V. Kheresko—6530
WAug 1 · 04:55M. Treschetka—611119113V. Kheresko—11471152
LJul 26 · 16:55M. Treschetka—411111022V. Kheresko—117512113
WJul 20 · 09:25M. Treschetka—11116113V. Kheresko—271191
LJul 13 · 04:55M. Treschetka—111121162V. Kheresko—413116113
WJul 12 · 12:25M. Treschetka—11311113V. Kheresko—611891
M. Treschetka10
LSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113WSep 6 · 16:55V. Salivonchyk1.73771181M. Treschetka2.0011111103WSep 6 · 14:55O. Sapuzhak2.38116841M. Treschetka1.5381111113WSep 6 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.3611911113O. Maksymkiv3.00611861LSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520WSep 3 · 10:25M. Dunas2.206780M. Treschetka1.611111113WSep 3 · 09:25M. Treschetka1.67711119163A. Nikolenko2.10118811142LSep 3 · 08:25M. Treschetka1.40117118162V. Ivanytskyi2.75711711183LSep 3 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.0065111182O. Maslovskyi1.73111189113WSep 3 · 04:55M. Treschetka1.401111113O. Maksymkiv2.755330
V. Kheresko10
WSep 7 · 06:25V. Kheresko1.80101112113V. Salivonchyk1.911271071WSep 7 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv1.4410940V. Kheresko2.631211113LSep 6 · 17:25V. Kheresko2.5011118141O. Maksymkiv1.5013711163WSep 6 · 15:25S. Kryvoshyi1.5341111752V. Kheresko2.38118811113WSep 6 · 13:25O. Sapuzhak3.50611641V. Kheresko1.2811911113LSep 6 · 12:25V. Salivonchyk2.00126811113V. Kheresko1.73101111472LSep 2 · 11:25O. Melnik1.73118117113V. Kheresko2.0081181192LSep 2 · 09:55V. Kheresko3.001091351D. Kozoriz1.36121111113LSep 2 · 07:55O. Maksymkiv1.44911112113V. Kheresko2.6311871172WSep 2 · 05:55S. Kryvoshyi1.36711612102V. Kheresko3.001191110123
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