TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084090
Played Sep 6Finished
Serhii Kryvoshyi
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
411118118711511
Vsevolod Kheresko
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:00 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Kryvoshyi to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSerhii Kryvoshyi above · Vsevolod Kheresko below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 87 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Serhii Kryvoshyi at 62.0%
87 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Kryvoshyi 6–3 Vsevolod Kheresko Vsevolod Kheresko has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:00What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kryvoshyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Kryvoshyi
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryvoshyi 1308 vs Kheresko 1178
Kryvoshyi
Wrong
both rated, 131 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryvoshyi 40% vs Kheresko 20%
Kryvoshyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryvoshyi 60% vs Kheresko 20%
Kryvoshyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryvoshyi +2 · Kheresko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Kryvoshyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kheresko form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryvoshyi 1.53 / Kheresko 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Kryvoshyi)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13084090
Kryvoshyi1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 64 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it83% 55 of 66
Kheresko2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 56 of 150
Down 0–1, comes back22% 18 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKryvoshyi6wins
AwayKheresko3wins
1 of 9 to a deciderKryvoshyi leads 6–3, and 1 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryvoshyi85.7%6 of 7
AwayKhereskon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryvoshyi7Kheresko2n = 9Kryvoshyi took 7 of 9
S2Kryvoshyi4Kheresko5n = 9Kheresko took 5 of 9
S3Kryvoshyi6Kheresko3n = 9Kryvoshyi took 6 of 9
S4Kryvoshyi4Kheresko1n = 5Kryvoshyi took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home333%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricKryvoshyiKhereskoKryvoshyi − KhereskoBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match36.731.8+4.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryvoshyiKhereskoBasisWin rate · lifetime252 / 550 vs 203 / 40745.8%49.9%252 / 550 vs 203 / 407Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.637.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvoshyiKryvoshyi 1.53/Kheresko 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62%
Kryvoshyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kheresko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 2 · 05:55S. Kryvoshyi—711612102V. Kheresko—1191110123
WSep 1 · 17:25S. Kryvoshyi—1113103V. Kheresko—71120
WAug 25 · 11:55S. Kryvoshyi—11911113V. Kheresko—911651
LAug 19 · 10:55S. Kryvoshyi—1151271V. Kheresko—71114113
WAug 18 · 13:25S. Kryvoshyi—11811123V. Kheresko—4119101
LJul 22 · 09:55S. Kryvoshyi—6670V. Kheresko—1111113
WJul 21 · 13:25S. Kryvoshyi—1511113V. Kheresko—13790
WJul 14 · 17:25S. Kryvoshyi—1111113V. Kheresko—4440
WMay 10 · 13:55S. Kryvoshyi—11611143V. Kheresko—4114121
S. Kryvoshyi10
WSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113LSep 6 · 16:25O. Sapuzhak2.00111011113S. Kryvoshyi1.73812181WSep 6 · 14:25V. Salivonchyk4.0011115382S. Kryvoshyi1.22591111113WSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520LSep 2 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0051111111A. Didyk1.7311134133LSep 2 · 08:55S. Kryvoshyi1.251011131062O. Maksymkiv3.751271112113LSep 2 · 07:25S. Kryvoshyi1.2278110O. Melnik4.001111133LSep 2 · 05:55S. Kryvoshyi1.36711612102V. Kheresko3.001191110123WSep 2 · 04:25S. Kryvoshyi2.251111113D. Kozoriz1.576370
V. Kheresko10
WSep 7 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv1.4410940V. Kheresko2.631211113WSep 6 · 18:55M. Treschetka2.10861241V. Kheresko1.67111110113LSep 6 · 17:25V. Kheresko2.5011118141O. Maksymkiv1.5013711163WSep 6 · 13:25O. Sapuzhak3.50611641V. Kheresko1.2811911113LSep 6 · 12:25V. Salivonchyk2.00126811113V. Kheresko1.73101111472LSep 2 · 11:25O. Melnik1.73118117113V. Kheresko2.0081181192LSep 2 · 09:55V. Kheresko3.001091351D. Kozoriz1.36121111113LSep 2 · 07:55O. Maksymkiv1.44911112113V. Kheresko2.6311871172WSep 2 · 05:55S. Kryvoshyi1.36711612102V. Kheresko3.001191110123LSep 2 · 04:55A. Didyk1.4071112113V. Kheresko2.751181061
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