TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060241
Played Sep 2Finished
Serhii Kryvoshyi
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116113117––––
Denys Kozoriz
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:03 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeDenys Kozoriz to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSerhii Kryvoshyi above · Denys Kozoriz below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 49 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Denys Kozoriz at 62.5%
49 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Kryvoshyi 31–33 Denys Kozoriz Serhii Kryvoshyi has won 31 of their 64 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:03What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kozoriz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-33 in 64
Kozoriz
Wrong
gap of 2 in 64, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryvoshyi 1285 vs Kozoriz 1327
Kozoriz
Wrong
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryvoshyi 60% vs Kozoriz 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryvoshyi 40% vs Kozoriz 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryvoshyi +3 · Kozoriz -1
Kryvoshyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kozoriz) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryvoshyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryvoshyi 2.25 / Kozoriz 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Kozoriz)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13060241
Kryvoshyi2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog32% won 29 of 90
Down 0–1, comes back22% 12 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 29
Kozoriz1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 58 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it93% 39 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it83% 49 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKryvoshyi3wins
AwayKozoriz7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKozoriz leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryvoshyin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKozoriz77.8%7 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryvoshyi1Kozoriz9n = 10Kozoriz took 9 of 10
S2Kryvoshyi3Kozoriz7n = 10Kozoriz took 7 of 10
S3Kryvoshyi4Kozoriz6n = 10Kozoriz took 6 of 10
S4Kryvoshyi2Kozoriz3n = 5Kozoriz took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricKryvoshyiKozorizKryvoshyi − KozorizBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match31.536.1−4.6per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryvoshyiKozorizBasisWin rate · lifetime257 / 553 vs 273 / 51846.5%52.7%257 / 553 vs 273 / 518Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.734.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KozorizKryvoshyi 2.25/Kozoriz 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.5%
Kozoriz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kryvoshyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 13:25S. Kryvoshyi—511681D. Kozoriz—11911113
LAug 25 · 13:25S. Kryvoshyi—5660D. Kozoriz—1111113
WMay 14 · 05:25S. Kryvoshyi—8101311113D. Kozoriz—111211442
LMay 13 · 18:55S. Kryvoshyi—71111131D. Kozoriz—11138153
WApr 8 · 05:25S. Kryvoshyi—1111113D. Kozoriz—6020
WApr 7 · 17:25S. Kryvoshyi—1071112113D. Kozoriz—121151082
LMar 6 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi—5960D. Kozoriz—1111113
LMar 5 · 14:55S. Kryvoshyi—8910D. Kozoriz—1111113
LFeb 13 · 06:55S. Kryvoshyi—1111521D. Kozoriz—13911113
LFeb 12 · 18:55S. Kryvoshyi—9760D. Kozoriz—1111113
S. Kryvoshyi10
LSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772WSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113LSep 6 · 16:25O. Sapuzhak2.00111011113S. Kryvoshyi1.73812181LSep 6 · 15:25S. Kryvoshyi1.5341111752V. Kheresko2.38118811113WSep 6 · 14:25V. Salivonchyk4.0011115382S. Kryvoshyi1.22591111113WSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520LSep 2 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0051111111A. Didyk1.7311134133LSep 2 · 08:55S. Kryvoshyi1.251011131062O. Maksymkiv3.751271112113LSep 2 · 07:25S. Kryvoshyi1.2278110O. Melnik4.001111133
D. Kozoriz10
WSep 2 · 10:55O. Maksymkiv3.75113611D. Kozoriz1.2581111113WSep 2 · 09:55V. Kheresko3.001091351D. Kozoriz1.36121111113LSep 2 · 08:25A. Didyk1.91471211113D. Kozoriz1.80111110882WSep 2 · 06:25O. Melnik1.8011113792D. Kozoriz1.91001111113LSep 1 · 17:55D. Kozoriz1.73881181A. Didyk2.0011112113WSep 1 · 16:25D. Kozoriz1.911111113K. Tkachenko1.802520LSep 1 · 14:55D. Kozoriz2.00118251O. Melnik1.7361111113WSep 1 · 13:25D. Kozoriz1.5711911113S. Kryvoshyi2.25511681WSep 1 · 11:55D. Kozoriz1.5091111113V. Kheresko2.50116431LAug 26 · 08:25R. Mazur2.10815712113D. Kozoriz1.671113111072
Upcoming Matches
S. Kryvoshyi
D. Kozoriz
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.