TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060437
Played Sep 2Finished
Andriy Didyk
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
4117111210118118
Denys Kozoriz
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndriy Didyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingAndriy Didyk above · Denys Kozoriz below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 93 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Andriy Didyk at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Andriy Didyk 48–19 Denys Kozoriz Denys Kozoriz has won 19 of their 67 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:13What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kozoriz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
48-19 in 67
Didyk
Correct
gap of 29 in 67, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Didyk 1362 vs Kozoriz 1320
Didyk
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Didyk 100% vs Kozoriz 40%
Didyk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Didyk 60% vs Kozoriz 40%
Didyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Didyk +5 · Kozoriz +1
Didyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Didyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kozoriz form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDidyk 1.91 / Kozoriz 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Didyk)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13060437
Didyk1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 53 of 119
Down 0–1, comes back25% 16 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 35
Kozoriz1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 56 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it93% 37 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it82% 46 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDidyk5wins
AwayKozoriz5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDidyk60%3 of 5
AwayKozoriz60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Didyk5Kozoriz5n = 10split evenly
S2Didyk4Kozoriz6n = 10Kozoriz took 6 of 10
S3Didyk3Kozoriz7n = 10Kozoriz took 7 of 10
S4Didyk6Kozoriz2n = 8Didyk took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDidykKozorizD − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.038.5−5.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDidykKozorizBasisWin rate · lifetime217 / 459 vs 274 / 52047.3%52.7%217 / 459 vs 274 / 520Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match34.934.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DidykDidyk 1.91/Kozoriz 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Didyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Didyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 17:55A. Didyk—11112113D. Kozoriz—881181
WAug 26 · 04:25A. Didyk—11125143D. Kozoriz—91011121
WAug 25 · 12:25A. Didyk—611911113D. Kozoriz—11911942
LMay 14 · 07:25A. Didyk—5101231D. Kozoriz—111210113
LMay 13 · 15:25A. Didyk—11331142D. Kozoriz—911117113
WApr 8 · 04:25A. Didyk—41111113D. Kozoriz—119251
WApr 7 · 11:55A. Didyk—12712113D. Kozoriz—10111071
LFeb 28 · 09:55A. Didyk—3690D. Kozoriz—1111113
LFeb 27 · 13:25A. Didyk—9470D. Kozoriz—1111113
LFeb 12 · 15:55A. Didyk—114741D. Kozoriz—71111113
A. Didyk10
WSep 2 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0051111111A. Didyk1.7311134133WSep 2 · 09:25A. Didyk1.57127129113O. Melnik2.251011101162WSep 2 · 06:55A. Didyk1.44113811113O. Maksymkiv2.6391111682WSep 2 · 04:55A. Didyk1.4071112113V. Kheresko2.751181061WSep 1 · 17:55D. Kozoriz1.73881181A. Didyk2.0011112113WSep 1 · 16:55A. Didyk1.611161110113O. Melnik2.2081171262WSep 1 · 15:55A. Didyk1.36911118113V. Kheresko3.0011881162LSep 1 · 14:25A. Didyk2.20611121092K. Tkachenko1.611161012113WSep 1 · 12:25A. Didyk1.731011511183S. Kryvoshyi2.00128119162LAug 26 · 09:55A. Didyk2.2564100D. Ponomarenko1.571111123
D. Kozoriz10
WSep 2 · 10:55O. Maksymkiv3.75113611D. Kozoriz1.2581111113WSep 2 · 09:55V. Kheresko3.001091351D. Kozoriz1.36121111113WSep 2 · 06:25O. Melnik1.8011113792D. Kozoriz1.91001111113LSep 2 · 04:25S. Kryvoshyi2.251111113D. Kozoriz1.576370LSep 1 · 17:55D. Kozoriz1.73881181A. Didyk2.0011112113WSep 1 · 16:25D. Kozoriz1.911111113K. Tkachenko1.802520LSep 1 · 14:55D. Kozoriz2.00118251O. Melnik1.7361111113WSep 1 · 13:25D. Kozoriz1.5711911113S. Kryvoshyi2.25511681WSep 1 · 11:55D. Kozoriz1.5091111113V. Kheresko2.50116431LAug 26 · 08:25R. Mazur2.10815712113D. Kozoriz1.671113111072
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