TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055611
Played Sep 1Finished
Andriy Didyk
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10121185111191816
Serhii Kryvoshyi
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndriy Didyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndriy Didyk above · Serhii Kryvoshyi below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 18-16
Point 111 set 5, 18-16 — our read held Andriy Didyk at 54.0%
111 points played in total.
H2H Andriy Didyk 35–62 Serhii Kryvoshyi Andriy Didyk has won 35 of their 97 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:27What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Didyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-62 in 97
Kryvoshyi
Wrong
gap of 27 in 97, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Didyk 1319 vs Kryvoshyi 1260
Didyk
Correct
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Didyk 40% vs Kryvoshyi 20%
Didyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Didyk 50% vs Kryvoshyi 30%
Didyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Didyk -3 · Kryvoshyi -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Didyk) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryvoshyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDidyk 1.73 / Kryvoshyi 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Didyk)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13055611
Didyk1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 41 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it89% 23 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it71% 32 of 45
Kryvoshyi2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog32% won 29 of 90
Down 0–1, comes back22% 12 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDidyk7wins
AwayKryvoshyi3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDidyk leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDidyk83.3%5 of 6
AwayKryvoshyi50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Didyk6Kryvoshyi4n = 10Didyk took 6 of 10
S2Didyk7Kryvoshyi3n = 10Didyk took 7 of 10
S3Didyk6Kryvoshyi4n = 10Didyk took 6 of 10
S4Didyk2Kryvoshyi4n = 6Kryvoshyi took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDidykKryvoshyiD − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.833.3+2.5per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDidykKryvoshyiBasisWin rate · lifetime211 / 452 vs 254 / 54846.7%46.4%211 / 452 vs 254 / 548Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.735.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DidykDidyk 1.73/Kryvoshyi 2.00
Hit
What we said
54.5%
Didyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Didyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 17:55A. Didyk—31211113S. Kryvoshyi—1110741
WAug 19 · 06:55A. Didyk—1111113S. Kryvoshyi—5680
WAug 18 · 17:55A. Didyk—1211123S. Kryvoshyi—106100
WAug 6 · 18:55A. Didyk—911119113S. Kryvoshyi—11791182
LAug 5 · 10:25A. Didyk—119561S. Kryvoshyi—91111113
WAug 4 · 13:25A. Didyk—1111113S. Kryvoshyi—8550
LJul 22 · 08:25A. Didyk—951191S. Kryvoshyi—11118113
WJul 21 · 17:55A. Didyk—131194113S. Kryvoshyi—118111162
LMay 28 · 05:55A. Didyk—33100S. Kryvoshyi—1111123
WMay 27 · 16:55A. Didyk—11117113S. Kryvoshyi—761141
A. Didyk10
WSep 2 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0051111111A. Didyk1.7311134133WSep 2 · 09:25A. Didyk1.57127129113O. Melnik2.251011101162WSep 2 · 08:25A. Didyk1.91471211113D. Kozoriz1.80111110882WSep 2 · 06:55A. Didyk1.44113811113O. Maksymkiv2.6391111682WSep 2 · 04:55A. Didyk1.4071112113V. Kheresko2.751181061WSep 1 · 17:55D. Kozoriz1.73881181A. Didyk2.0011112113WSep 1 · 16:55A. Didyk1.611161110113O. Melnik2.2081171262WSep 1 · 15:55A. Didyk1.36911118113V. Kheresko3.0011881162LSep 1 · 14:25A. Didyk2.20611121092K. Tkachenko1.611161012113LAug 26 · 09:55A. Didyk2.2564100D. Ponomarenko1.571111123
S. Kryvoshyi10
WSep 7 · 07:55O. Maksymkiv2.101021521S. Kryvoshyi1.67121113113LSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772WSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113LSep 6 · 16:25O. Sapuzhak2.00111011113S. Kryvoshyi1.73812181LSep 6 · 15:25S. Kryvoshyi1.5341111752V. Kheresko2.38118811113WSep 6 · 14:25V. Salivonchyk4.0011115382S. Kryvoshyi1.22591111113WSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520LSep 2 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0051111111A. Didyk1.7311134133LSep 2 · 08:55S. Kryvoshyi1.251011131062O. Maksymkiv3.751271112113
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S. Kryvoshyi
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