TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060434
Played Sep 2Finished
Andriy Didyk
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
12107111210911116
Orest Melnik
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:13 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeAndriy Didyk to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndriy Didyk above · Orest Melnik below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 99 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Andriy Didyk at 62.1%
99 points played in total.
H2H Andriy Didyk 35–25 Orest Melnik Orest Melnik has won 25 of their 60 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:13What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Didyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-25 in 60
Didyk
Correct
gap of 10 in 60, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Didyk 1372 vs Melnik 1253
Didyk
Correct
both rated, 119 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Didyk 100% vs Melnik 40%
Didyk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Didyk 70% vs Melnik 40%
Didyk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Didyk +5 · Melnik +1
Didyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Didyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Didyk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDidyk 1.57 / Melnik 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Didyk)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13060434
Didyk1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 44 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it89% 23 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it72% 33 of 46
Melnik2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 38 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back14% 12 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDidyk8wins
AwayMelnik2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderDidyk leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDidyk85.7%6 of 7
AwayMelnik33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Didyk7Melnik3n = 10Didyk took 7 of 10
S2Didyk4Melnik6n = 10Melnik took 6 of 10
S3Didyk4Melnik6n = 10Melnik took 6 of 10
S4Didyk6Melnik4n = 10Didyk took 6 of 10
S5Didyk5Melnik0n = 5Didyk took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDidykMelnikD − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.541.3+1.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDidykMelnikBasisWin rate · lifetime218 / 460 vs 176 / 37647.4%46.8%218 / 460 vs 176 / 376Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.935.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DidykDidyk 1.57/Melnik 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.1%
Didyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Didyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 16:55A. Didyk—1161110113O. Melnik—81171262
WAug 19 · 09:25A. Didyk—1511811113O. Melnik—17511862
WAug 18 · 16:55A. Didyk—11411113O. Melnik—811461
WAug 5 · 08:55A. Didyk—11714113O. Melnik—4111271
WAug 4 · 14:55A. Didyk—921111113O. Melnik—11118882
LJul 22 · 09:25A. Didyk—711581O. Melnik—11611113
WJul 21 · 16:55A. Didyk—118411113O. Melnik—81111962
LJul 8 · 07:25A. Didyk—11141021O. Melnik—91612113
WJul 7 · 18:55A. Didyk—131161123O. Melnik—1191111102
WJun 10 · 08:55A. Didyk—11117113O. Melnik—951141
A. Didyk10
WSep 2 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0051111111A. Didyk1.7311134133WSep 2 · 08:25A. Didyk1.91471211113D. Kozoriz1.80111110882WSep 2 · 06:55A. Didyk1.44113811113O. Maksymkiv2.6391111682WSep 2 · 04:55A. Didyk1.4071112113V. Kheresko2.751181061WSep 1 · 17:55D. Kozoriz1.73881181A. Didyk2.0011112113WSep 1 · 16:55A. Didyk1.611161110113O. Melnik2.2081171262WSep 1 · 15:55A. Didyk1.36911118113V. Kheresko3.0011881162LSep 1 · 14:25A. Didyk2.20611121092K. Tkachenko1.611161012113WSep 1 · 12:25A. Didyk1.731011511183S. Kryvoshyi2.00128119162LAug 26 · 09:55A. Didyk2.2564100D. Ponomarenko1.571111123
O. Melnik10
WSep 2 · 11:25O. Melnik1.73118117113V. Kheresko2.0081181192WSep 2 · 07:25S. Kryvoshyi1.2278110O. Melnik4.001111133LSep 2 · 06:25O. Melnik1.8011113792D. Kozoriz1.91001111113WSep 2 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv3.006540O. Melnik1.361111113LSep 1 · 18:55O. Melnik3.754590S. Kryvoshyi1.251111113LSep 1 · 16:55A. Didyk1.611161110113O. Melnik2.2081171262WSep 1 · 14:55D. Kozoriz2.00118251O. Melnik1.7361111113LSep 1 · 13:55O. Melnik1.6761070V. Kheresko2.101112113LSep 1 · 12:55K. Tkachenko1.201211113O. Melnik4.3310440WAug 19 · 11:25O. Melnik1.3614411113O. Maksymkiv3.001211851
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