TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055427
Played Sep 1Finished
Andriy Didyk
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1186111171012116
Orest Melnik
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:56 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeAndriy Didyk to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingAndriy Didyk above · Orest Melnik below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 93 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Andriy Didyk at 60.9%
93 points played in total.
H2H Andriy Didyk 34–25 Orest Melnik Orest Melnik has won 25 of their 59 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:56What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Didyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-25 in 59
Didyk
Correct
gap of 9 in 59, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Didyk 1328 vs Melnik 1253
Didyk
Correct
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Didyk 40% vs Melnik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Didyk 50% vs Melnik 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Didyk +1 · Melnik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Didyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Didyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDidyk 1.61 / Melnik 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Didyk)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13055427
Didyk1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite53% won 41 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it89% 23 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it71% 32 of 45
Melnik2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 38 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back14% 12 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDidyk8wins
AwayMelnik2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDidyk leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDidyk85.7%6 of 7
AwayMelnik33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Didyk7Melnik3n = 10Didyk took 7 of 10
S2Didyk5Melnik5n = 10split evenly
S3Didyk4Melnik6n = 10Melnik took 6 of 10
S4Didyk6Melnik3n = 9Didyk took 6 of 9
S5Didyk4Melnik0n = 4Didyk took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDidykMelnikD − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.938.3+2.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDidykMelnikBasisWin rate · lifetime213 / 455 vs 174 / 37146.8%46.9%213 / 455 vs 174 / 371Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.835.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DidykDidyk 1.61/Melnik 2.20
Hit
What we said
60.9%
Didyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Didyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 19 · 09:25A. Didyk—1511811113O. Melnik—17511862
WAug 18 · 16:55A. Didyk—11411113O. Melnik—811461
WAug 5 · 08:55A. Didyk—11714113O. Melnik—4111271
WAug 4 · 14:55A. Didyk—921111113O. Melnik—11118882
LJul 22 · 09:25A. Didyk—711581O. Melnik—11611113
WJul 21 · 16:55A. Didyk—118411113O. Melnik—81111962
LJul 8 · 07:25A. Didyk—11141021O. Melnik—91612113
WJul 7 · 18:55A. Didyk—131161123O. Melnik—1191111102
WJun 10 · 08:55A. Didyk—11117113O. Melnik—951141
WJun 9 · 14:25A. Didyk—1111113O. Melnik—2390
A. Didyk10
WSep 2 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0051111111A. Didyk1.7311134133WSep 2 · 09:25A. Didyk1.57127129113O. Melnik2.251011101162WSep 2 · 08:25A. Didyk1.91471211113D. Kozoriz1.80111110882WSep 2 · 06:55A. Didyk1.44113811113O. Maksymkiv2.6391111682WSep 2 · 04:55A. Didyk1.4071112113V. Kheresko2.751181061WSep 1 · 17:55D. Kozoriz1.73881181A. Didyk2.0011112113WSep 1 · 15:55A. Didyk1.36911118113V. Kheresko3.0011881162LSep 1 · 14:25A. Didyk2.20611121092K. Tkachenko1.611161012113WSep 1 · 12:25A. Didyk1.731011511183S. Kryvoshyi2.00128119162LAug 26 · 09:55A. Didyk2.2564100D. Ponomarenko1.571111123
O. Melnik10
WSep 2 · 11:25O. Melnik1.73118117113V. Kheresko2.0081181192LSep 2 · 09:25A. Didyk1.57127129113O. Melnik2.251011101162WSep 2 · 07:25S. Kryvoshyi1.2278110O. Melnik4.001111133LSep 2 · 06:25O. Melnik1.8011113792D. Kozoriz1.91001111113WSep 2 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv3.006540O. Melnik1.361111113LSep 1 · 18:55O. Melnik3.754590S. Kryvoshyi1.251111113WSep 1 · 14:55D. Kozoriz2.00118251O. Melnik1.7361111113LSep 1 · 13:55O. Melnik1.6761070V. Kheresko2.101112113LSep 1 · 12:55K. Tkachenko1.201211113O. Melnik4.3310440WAug 19 · 11:25O. Melnik1.3614411113O. Maksymkiv3.001211851
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