TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060433
Played Sep 2Finished
Andriy Didyk
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119311811116118
Oleh Maksymkiv
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:15 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timeAndriy Didyk to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndriy Didyk above · Oleh Maksymkiv below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 89 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Andriy Didyk at 68.5%
89 points played in total.
H2H Andriy Didyk 8–3 Oleh Maksymkiv Oleh Maksymkiv has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:15What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Didyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-3 in 11
Didyk
Correct
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Didyk 1387 vs Maksymkiv 1191
Didyk
Correct
both rated, 197 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Didyk 80% vs Maksymkiv 60%
Didyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Didyk 60% vs Maksymkiv 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Didyk +4 · Maksymkiv -1
Didyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Didyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maksymkiv form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDidyk 1.44 / Maksymkiv 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Didyk)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13060433
Didyk1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 48 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it89% 24 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it74% 36 of 49
Maksymkiv2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 62 of 159
Down 0–1, comes back22% 19 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDidyk7wins
AwayMaksymkiv3wins
6 of 10 to a deciderDidyk leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDidyk77.8%7 of 9
AwayMaksymkivn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Didyk9Maksymkiv1n = 10Didyk took 9 of 10
S2Didyk3Maksymkiv7n = 10Maksymkiv took 7 of 10
S3Didyk6Maksymkiv4n = 10Didyk took 6 of 10
S4Didyk4Maksymkiv4n = 8split evenly
S5Didyk4Maksymkiv2n = 6Didyk took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDidykMaksymkivD − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match42.938.0+4.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDidykMaksymkivBasisWin rate · lifetime220 / 462 vs 372 / 71247.6%52.3%220 / 462 vs 372 / 712Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match34.937.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DidykDidyk 1.44/Maksymkiv 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.9%
Didyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Didyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 06:55A. Didyk—113811113O. Maksymkiv—91111682
WAug 19 · 04:55A. Didyk—1111113O. Maksymkiv—9350
WJul 7 · 13:25A. Didyk—14611113O. Maksymkiv—1211851
LJun 23 · 14:55A. Didyk—1121161O. Maksymkiv—41113113
LJun 17 · 06:55A. Didyk—125111192O. Maksymkiv—1011132113
WJun 11 · 09:55A. Didyk—1114145113O. Maksymkiv—916121142
WMay 29 · 09:59A. Didyk—1110118113O. Maksymkiv—51251182
LMay 29 · 07:25A. Didyk—74111172O. Maksymkiv—111139113
WMay 5 · 12:25A. Didyk—1111109123O. Maksymkiv—541211102
WFeb 20 · 10:25A. Didyk—1111113O. Maksymkiv—7630
A. Didyk10
WSep 2 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0051111111A. Didyk1.7311134133WSep 2 · 09:25A. Didyk1.57127129113O. Melnik2.251011101162WSep 2 · 08:25A. Didyk1.91471211113D. Kozoriz1.80111110882WSep 2 · 04:55A. Didyk1.4071112113V. Kheresko2.751181061WSep 1 · 17:55D. Kozoriz1.73881181A. Didyk2.0011112113WSep 1 · 16:55A. Didyk1.611161110113O. Melnik2.2081171262WSep 1 · 15:55A. Didyk1.36911118113V. Kheresko3.0011881162LSep 1 · 14:25A. Didyk2.20611121092K. Tkachenko1.611161012113WSep 1 · 12:25A. Didyk1.731011511183S. Kryvoshyi2.00128119162LAug 26 · 09:55A. Didyk2.2564100D. Ponomarenko1.571111123
O. Maksymkiv10
LSep 7 · 07:55O. Maksymkiv2.101021521S. Kryvoshyi1.67121113113WSep 7 · 06:55M. Treschetka1.404911111O. Maksymkiv2.7511116133LSep 7 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv1.4410940V. Kheresko2.631211113WSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113WSep 6 · 17:25V. Kheresko2.5011118141O. Maksymkiv1.5013711163WSep 6 · 15:55V. Salivonchyk1.9111196892O. Maksymkiv1.807171111113LSep 6 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.3611911113O. Maksymkiv3.00611861WSep 6 · 11:55O. Sapuzhak2.009111181O. Maksymkiv1.7311136113LSep 3 · 11:25A. Nikolenko3.25121211113O. Maksymkiv1.331410141LSep 3 · 09:55O. Maksymkiv1.4411119992V. Ivanytskyi2.63751111113
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