TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055133
Played Sep 1Finished
Denys Kozoriz
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811811112811––
Andriy Didyk
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndriy Didyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDenys Kozoriz above · Andriy Didyk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 70 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Andriy Didyk at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Denys Kozoriz 19–47 Andriy Didyk Denys Kozoriz has won 19 of their 66 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:05What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kozoriz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-47 in 66
Didyk
Correct
gap of 28 in 66, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kozoriz 1339 vs Didyk 1337
Kozoriz
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kozoriz 60% vs Didyk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kozoriz 50% vs Didyk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kozoriz +1 · Didyk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kozoriz) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKozoriz 1.73 / Didyk 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kozoriz)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13055133
Kozoriz1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 58 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it93% 39 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it83% 49 of 59
Didyk2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 52 of 117
Down 0–1, comes back25% 16 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKozoriz6wins
AwayDidyk4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKozoriz leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKozoriz66.7%4 of 6
AwayDidyk50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kozoriz6Didyk4n = 10Kozoriz took 6 of 10
S2Kozoriz7Didyk3n = 10Kozoriz took 7 of 10
S3Kozoriz6Didyk4n = 10Kozoriz took 6 of 10
S4Kozoriz3Didyk5n = 8Didyk took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKozorizDidykK − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.932.8+6.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKozorizDidykBasisWin rate · lifetime273 / 517 vs 214 / 45652.8%46.9%273 / 517 vs 214 / 456Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.334.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KozorizKozoriz 1.73/Didyk 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kozoriz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Didyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 04:25D. Kozoriz—91011121A. Didyk—11125143
LAug 25 · 12:25D. Kozoriz—11911942A. Didyk—611911113
WMay 14 · 07:25D. Kozoriz—111210113A. Didyk—5101231
WMay 13 · 15:25D. Kozoriz—911117113A. Didyk—11331142
LApr 8 · 04:25D. Kozoriz—119251A. Didyk—41111113
LApr 7 · 11:55D. Kozoriz—10111071A. Didyk—12712113
WFeb 28 · 09:55D. Kozoriz—1111113A. Didyk—3690
WFeb 27 · 13:25D. Kozoriz—1111113A. Didyk—9470
WFeb 12 · 15:55D. Kozoriz—71111113A. Didyk—114741
WFeb 8 · 08:25D. Kozoriz—11116113A. Didyk—691171
D. Kozoriz10
WSep 2 · 10:55O. Maksymkiv3.75113611D. Kozoriz1.2581111113WSep 2 · 09:55V. Kheresko3.001091351D. Kozoriz1.36121111113LSep 2 · 08:25A. Didyk1.91471211113D. Kozoriz1.80111110882WSep 2 · 06:25O. Melnik1.8011113792D. Kozoriz1.91001111113LSep 2 · 04:25S. Kryvoshyi2.251111113D. Kozoriz1.576370WSep 1 · 16:25D. Kozoriz1.911111113K. Tkachenko1.802520LSep 1 · 14:55D. Kozoriz2.00118251O. Melnik1.7361111113WSep 1 · 13:25D. Kozoriz1.5711911113S. Kryvoshyi2.25511681WSep 1 · 11:55D. Kozoriz1.5091111113V. Kheresko2.50116431LAug 26 · 08:25R. Mazur2.10815712113D. Kozoriz1.671113111072
A. Didyk10
WSep 2 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0051111111A. Didyk1.7311134133WSep 2 · 09:25A. Didyk1.57127129113O. Melnik2.251011101162WSep 2 · 08:25A. Didyk1.91471211113D. Kozoriz1.80111110882WSep 2 · 06:55A. Didyk1.44113811113O. Maksymkiv2.6391111682WSep 2 · 04:55A. Didyk1.4071112113V. Kheresko2.751181061WSep 1 · 16:55A. Didyk1.611161110113O. Melnik2.2081171262WSep 1 · 15:55A. Didyk1.36911118113V. Kheresko3.0011881162LSep 1 · 14:25A. Didyk2.20611121092K. Tkachenko1.611161012113WSep 1 · 12:25A. Didyk1.731011511183S. Kryvoshyi2.00128119162LAug 26 · 09:55A. Didyk2.2564100D. Ponomarenko1.571111123
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