TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055071
Played Sep 1Finished
Denys Kozoriz
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115911116118––
Serhii Kryvoshyi
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:55 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeDenys Kozoriz to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDenys Kozoriz above · Serhii Kryvoshyi below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 72 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Denys Kozoriz at 59.7%
72 points played in total.
H2H Denys Kozoriz 32–31 Serhii Kryvoshyi Serhii Kryvoshyi has won 31 of their 63 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:55What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kozoriz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-31 in 63
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kozoriz 1327 vs Kryvoshyi 1252
Kozoriz
Correct
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kozoriz 20% vs Kryvoshyi 0%
Kozoriz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kozoriz 50% vs Kryvoshyi 20%
Kozoriz
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kozoriz +1 · Kryvoshyi -5
Kryvoshyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Kozoriz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryvoshyi form (0%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKozoriz 1.57 / Kryvoshyi 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Kozoriz)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13055071
Kozoriz1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 58 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it93% 39 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it83% 49 of 59
Kryvoshyi2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog32% won 29 of 90
Down 0–1, comes back22% 12 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKozoriz7wins
AwayKryvoshyi3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKozoriz leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKozoriz77.8%7 of 9
AwayKryvoshyin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kozoriz9Kryvoshyi1n = 10Kozoriz took 9 of 10
S2Kozoriz8Kryvoshyi2n = 10Kozoriz took 8 of 10
S3Kozoriz6Kryvoshyi4n = 10Kozoriz took 6 of 10
S4Kozoriz2Kryvoshyi2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKozorizKryvoshyiKozoriz − KryvoshyiBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match35.229.9+5.3per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKozorizKryvoshyiBasisWin rate · lifetime271 / 514 vs 254 / 54952.7%46.3%271 / 514 vs 254 / 549Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.335.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KozorizKozoriz 1.57/Kryvoshyi 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Kozoriz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kozoriz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 13:25D. Kozoriz—1111113S. Kryvoshyi—5660
LMay 14 · 05:25D. Kozoriz—111211442S. Kryvoshyi—8101311113
WMay 13 · 18:55D. Kozoriz—11138153S. Kryvoshyi—71111131
LApr 8 · 05:25D. Kozoriz—6020S. Kryvoshyi—1111113
LApr 7 · 17:25D. Kozoriz—121151082S. Kryvoshyi—1071112113
WMar 6 · 10:25D. Kozoriz—1111113S. Kryvoshyi—5960
WMar 5 · 14:55D. Kozoriz—1111113S. Kryvoshyi—8910
WFeb 13 · 06:55D. Kozoriz—13911113S. Kryvoshyi—1111521
WFeb 12 · 18:55D. Kozoriz—1111113S. Kryvoshyi—9760
WFeb 7 · 09:25D. Kozoriz—1111113S. Kryvoshyi—6350
D. Kozoriz10
WSep 2 · 10:55O. Maksymkiv3.75113611D. Kozoriz1.2581111113WSep 2 · 09:55V. Kheresko3.001091351D. Kozoriz1.36121111113LSep 2 · 08:25A. Didyk1.91471211113D. Kozoriz1.80111110882WSep 2 · 06:25O. Melnik1.8011113792D. Kozoriz1.91001111113LSep 2 · 04:25S. Kryvoshyi2.251111113D. Kozoriz1.576370LSep 1 · 17:55D. Kozoriz1.73881181A. Didyk2.0011112113WSep 1 · 16:25D. Kozoriz1.911111113K. Tkachenko1.802520LSep 1 · 14:55D. Kozoriz2.00118251O. Melnik1.7361111113WSep 1 · 11:55D. Kozoriz1.5091111113V. Kheresko2.50116431LAug 26 · 08:25R. Mazur2.10815712113D. Kozoriz1.671113111072
S. Kryvoshyi10
LSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772WSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113LSep 6 · 16:25O. Sapuzhak2.00111011113S. Kryvoshyi1.73812181LSep 6 · 15:25S. Kryvoshyi1.5341111752V. Kheresko2.38118811113WSep 6 · 14:25V. Salivonchyk4.0011115382S. Kryvoshyi1.22591111113WSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520LSep 2 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0051111111A. Didyk1.7311134133LSep 2 · 08:55S. Kryvoshyi1.251011131062O. Maksymkiv3.751271112113WSep 2 · 04:25S. Kryvoshyi2.251111113D. Kozoriz1.576370
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