TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084075
Played Sep 6Finished
Vasil Salivonchyk
Home
4.00
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115119511311811
Serhii Kryvoshyi
Away
1.22
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:00 and never touched — 75.4% is still 75.4%
Graded at full timeSerhii Kryvoshyi to win
75.4%
75.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVasil Salivonchyk above · Serhii Kryvoshyi below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 85 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Serhii Kryvoshyi at 75.4%
85 points played in total.
H2H Vasil Salivonchyk 0–8 Serhii Kryvoshyi Vasil Salivonchyk has won 0 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:00What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Kryvoshyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-8 in 8
Kryvoshyi
Correct
gap of 8 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Salivonchyk 1284 vs Kryvoshyi 1287
Kryvoshyi
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Salivonchyk 100% vs Kryvoshyi 20%
Salivonchyk
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Salivonchyk 80% vs Kryvoshyi 50%
Salivonchyk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Salivonchyk +5 · Kryvoshyi +1
Salivonchyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Kryvoshyi) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryvoshyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSalivonchyk 4.00 / Kryvoshyi 1.22
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Kryvoshyi)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13084075
Salivonchyk4.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 35 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back32% 16 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Kryvoshyi1.22
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 64 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it83% 55 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSalivonchyk0wins
AwayKryvoshyi8wins
Kryvoshyi leads 8–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSalivonchykn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKryvoshyi100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Salivonchyk2Kryvoshyi6n = 8Kryvoshyi took 6 of 8
S2Salivonchyk1Kryvoshyi7n = 8Kryvoshyi took 7 of 8
S3Salivonchyk1Kryvoshyi6n = 7Kryvoshyi took 6 of 7
S4Salivonchyk0Kryvoshyi4n = 4Kryvoshyi took 4 of 4
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away450%
0–3Straight, away338%
These 8 meetings
MetricSalivonchykKryvoshyiS − KBasisWins08−8in 8 meetingsFirst set26−4of 8Avg pointsper match22.036.2−14.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSalivonchykKryvoshyiBasisWin rate · lifetime332 / 615 vs 251 / 54954%45.7%332 / 615 vs 251 / 549Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.535.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvoshyiSalivonchyk 4.00/Kryvoshyi 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.8%
Kryvoshyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kryvoshyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LJul 29 · 08:25V. Salivonchyk—381181S. Kryvoshyi—11117113
LJul 28 · 13:25V. Salivonchyk—770S. Kryvoshyi—11102
LMay 11 · 10:55V. Salivonchyk—5780S. Kryvoshyi—1111113
LMay 10 · 11:55V. Salivonchyk—211561S. Kryvoshyi—11811113
LMar 2 · 09:25V. Salivonchyk—3830S. Kryvoshyi—1111113
LMar 1 · 15:25V. Salivonchyk—112851S. Kryvoshyi—91111113
LJan 12 · 08:25V. Salivonchyk—173461S. Kryvoshyi—151111103
LJan 11 · 19:55V. Salivonchyk—4950S. Kryvoshyi—1111113
V. Salivonchyk10
LSep 7 · 06:25V. Kheresko1.80101112113V. Salivonchyk1.911271071WSep 7 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.308950V. Salivonchyk3.401111113WSep 6 · 17:55O. Sapuzhak2.2010250V. Salivonchyk1.611211113LSep 6 · 16:55V. Salivonchyk1.73771181M. Treschetka2.0011111103LSep 6 · 15:55V. Salivonchyk1.9111196892O. Maksymkiv1.807171111113WSep 6 · 12:25V. Salivonchyk2.00126811113V. Kheresko1.73101111472WAug 31 · 10:25V. Salivonchyk1.6791111113M. Treschetka2.10112761WAug 31 · 08:55V. Salivonchyk1.53611127123O. Maslovskyi2.381181011102WAug 31 · 07:25V. Salivonchyk2.633111211113M. Vivatenko1.4411914552WAug 31 · 05:55V. Salivonchyk1.671111113M. Dunas2.106990
S. Kryvoshyi10
LSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772WSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113LSep 6 · 16:25O. Sapuzhak2.00111011113S. Kryvoshyi1.73812181LSep 6 · 15:25S. Kryvoshyi1.5341111752V. Kheresko2.38118811113WSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520LSep 2 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0051111111A. Didyk1.7311134133LSep 2 · 08:55S. Kryvoshyi1.251011131062O. Maksymkiv3.751271112113LSep 2 · 07:25S. Kryvoshyi1.2278110O. Melnik4.001111133LSep 2 · 05:55S. Kryvoshyi1.36711612102V. Kheresko3.001191110123
Upcoming Matches
V. Salivonchyk
S. Kryvoshyi
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.