TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13048185
Played Aug 31Finished
Vasil Salivonchyk
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
3111191214115115
Mykhailo Vivatenko
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:55 and never touched — 67.0% is still 67.0%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Vivatenko to win
67.0%
67.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVasil Salivonchyk above · Mykhailo Vivatenko below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 92 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Mykhailo Vivatenko at 67.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Vasil Salivonchyk 6–17 Mykhailo Vivatenko Vasil Salivonchyk has won 6 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:55What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Vivatenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-17 in 23
Vivatenko
Wrong
gap of 11 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Salivonchyk 1276 vs Vivatenko 1181
Salivonchyk
Correct
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Salivonchyk 80% vs Vivatenko 40%
Salivonchyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Salivonchyk 70% vs Vivatenko 50%
Salivonchyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Salivonchyk +3 · Vivatenko -1
Salivonchyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Vivatenko) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vivatenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSalivonchyk 2.63 / Vivatenko 1.44
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Vivatenko)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13048185
Salivonchyk2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 36 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back33% 17 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Vivatenko1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 57 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it81% 29 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it71% 44 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSalivonchyk3wins
AwayVivatenko7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVivatenko leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSalivonchyk40%2 of 5
AwayVivatenko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Salivonchyk5Vivatenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Salivonchyk4Vivatenko6n = 10Vivatenko took 6 of 10
S3Salivonchyk4Vivatenko6n = 10Vivatenko took 6 of 10
S4Salivonchyk4Vivatenko5n = 9Vivatenko took 5 of 9
S5Salivonchyk2Vivatenko3n = 5Vivatenko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSalivonchykVivatenkoS − VBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.044.6−5.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSalivonchykVivatenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime334 / 624 vs 152 / 27653.5%55.1%334 / 624 vs 152 / 276Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VivatenkoSalivonchyk 2.63/Vivatenko 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.7%
Vivatenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Salivonchyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 07:25V. Salivonchyk—3111211113M. Vivatenko—11914552
LAug 24 · 07:55V. Salivonchyk—115891M. Vivatenko—81111113
WJul 13 · 07:25V. Salivonchyk—1211113M. Vivatenko—10860
LJun 15 · 08:55V. Salivonchyk—881151M. Vivatenko—11118113
WJun 8 · 04:55V. Salivonchyk—13101111113M. Vivatenko—111213982
LJun 7 · 18:25V. Salivonchyk—11651162M. Vivatenko—811119113
LMay 4 · 05:25V. Salivonchyk—51411772M. Vivatenko—1112911113
LApr 6 · 07:25V. Salivonchyk—128651M. Vivatenko—101111113
LNov 15 · 09:25V. Salivonchyk—211561M. Vivatenko—11911113
LOct 20 · 07:25V. Salivonchyk—89151162M. Vivatenko—1111138113
V. Salivonchyk10
WSep 7 · 08:25M. Treschetka2.101110731V. Salivonchyk1.6761211113LSep 7 · 06:25V. Kheresko1.80101112113V. Salivonchyk1.911271071WSep 7 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.308950V. Salivonchyk3.401111113WSep 6 · 17:55O. Sapuzhak2.2010250V. Salivonchyk1.611211113LSep 6 · 16:55V. Salivonchyk1.73771181M. Treschetka2.0011111103LSep 6 · 15:55V. Salivonchyk1.9111196892O. Maksymkiv1.807171111113LSep 6 · 14:25V. Salivonchyk4.0011115382S. Kryvoshyi1.22591111113WSep 6 · 12:25V. Salivonchyk2.00126811113V. Kheresko1.73101111472WAug 31 · 10:25V. Salivonchyk1.6791111113M. Treschetka2.10112761WAug 31 · 08:55V. Salivonchyk1.53611127123O. Maslovskyi2.381181011102
M. Vivatenko10
WAug 31 · 11:25M. Vivatenko1.61131129113M. Dunas2.20115111192LAug 31 · 09:25M. Treschetka2.63111111113M. Vivatenko1.44138821LAug 31 · 06:25M. Vivatenko1.677121091O. Maksymkiv2.10111012113WAug 31 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi3.5011119752M. Vivatenko1.28971111113LAug 28 · 10:55M. Vivatenko1.5711118762O. Maksymkiv2.25571111113WAug 28 · 08:55M. Treschetka2.6311781182M. Vivatenko1.44611116113LAug 28 · 07:55M. Vivatenko1.5711115772M. Dunas2.25861111113LAug 28 · 06:55D. Belanchik1.409121111113M. Vivatenko2.7511146652WAug 28 · 05:25M. Vivatenko1.331111113O. Maslovskyi3.255560LAug 24 · 10:55M. Vivatenko2.251110361D. Kasian1.5791211113
Upcoming Matches
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M. Vivatenko
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