TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13048219
Played Aug 31Finished
Vasil Salivonchyk
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
61111812107111210
Oleksandr Maslovskyi
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:19 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timeVasil Salivonchyk to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVasil Salivonchyk above · Oleksandr Maslovskyi below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 98 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Vasil Salivonchyk at 63.6%
98 points played in total.
H2H Vasil Salivonchyk 44–42 Oleksandr Maslovskyi Oleksandr Maslovskyi has won 42 of their 86 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:19What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Salivonchyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
44-42 in 86
Salivonchyk
Correct
gap of 2 in 86, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Salivonchyk 1261 vs Maslovskyi 1098
Salivonchyk
Correct
both rated, 163 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Salivonchyk 80% vs Maslovskyi 60%
Salivonchyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Salivonchyk 80% vs Maslovskyi 30%
Salivonchyk
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Salivonchyk +4 · Maslovskyi +2
Salivonchyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Salivonchyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maslovskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSalivonchyk 1.53 / Maslovskyi 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Salivonchyk)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13048219
Salivonchyk1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 95 of 156
Up 2–0, closes it87% 41 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it73% 71 of 97
Maslovskyi2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 72 of 221
Down 0–1, comes back20% 30 of 149
Down 0–2, comes back8% 7 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSalivonchyk7wins
AwayMaslovskyi3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSalivonchyk leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSalivonchyk75%6 of 8
AwayMaslovskyin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Salivonchyk8Maslovskyi2n = 10Salivonchyk took 8 of 10
S2Salivonchyk7Maslovskyi3n = 10Salivonchyk took 7 of 10
S3Salivonchyk6Maslovskyi4n = 10Salivonchyk took 6 of 10
S4Salivonchyk3Maslovskyi4n = 7Maslovskyi took 4 of 7
S5Salivonchyk2Maslovskyi2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSalivonchykMaslovskyiS − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.136.3+3.8per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSalivonchykMaslovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime332 / 622 vs 437 / 86053.4%50.8%332 / 622 vs 437 / 860Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SalivonchykSalivonchyk 1.53/Maslovskyi 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.6%
Salivonchyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Salivonchyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 11:25V. Salivonchyk—6131113113O. Maslovskyi—111151552
WAug 17 · 10:55V. Salivonchyk—11117113O. Maslovskyi—851141
LAug 16 · 13:25V. Salivonchyk—91111652O. Maslovskyi—116511113
WAug 9 · 16:55V. Salivonchyk—11116113O. Maslovskyi—661181
WAug 3 · 08:55V. Salivonchyk—1113113O. Maslovskyi—91180
LAug 2 · 13:25V. Salivonchyk—117761O. Maslovskyi—91111113
WJul 20 · 08:55V. Salivonchyk—1211113O. Maslovskyi—10950
WJul 19 · 13:25V. Salivonchyk—1211113O. Maslovskyi—10670
WJul 13 · 08:55V. Salivonchyk—116911113O. Maslovskyi—91111882
LJul 12 · 16:25V. Salivonchyk—111118132O. Maslovskyi—311911153
V. Salivonchyk10
WSep 7 · 08:25M. Treschetka2.101110731V. Salivonchyk1.6761211113LSep 7 · 06:25V. Kheresko1.80101112113V. Salivonchyk1.911271071WSep 7 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.308950V. Salivonchyk3.401111113WSep 6 · 17:55O. Sapuzhak2.2010250V. Salivonchyk1.611211113LSep 6 · 16:55V. Salivonchyk1.73771181M. Treschetka2.0011111103LSep 6 · 15:55V. Salivonchyk1.9111196892O. Maksymkiv1.807171111113LSep 6 · 14:25V. Salivonchyk4.0011115382S. Kryvoshyi1.22591111113WSep 6 · 12:25V. Salivonchyk2.00126811113V. Kheresko1.73101111472WAug 31 · 10:25V. Salivonchyk1.6791111113M. Treschetka2.10112761WAug 31 · 07:25V. Salivonchyk2.633111211113M. Vivatenko1.4411914552
O. Maslovskyi10
WSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132WSep 3 · 08:55M. Dunas1.57118781O. Maslovskyi2.2591111113LSep 3 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi4.3391111672O. Maksymkiv1.20116611113WSep 3 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.0065111182O. Maslovskyi1.73111189113WSep 3 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.36111116113A. Nikolenko3.00471841LSep 2 · 18:55O. Maslovskyi2.00241181M. Dunas1.7311119113WSep 2 · 16:55A. Nikolenko3.00155331O. Maslovskyi1.36131111113LSep 2 · 14:55M. Treschetka2.2051111113O. Maslovskyi1.61115471LSep 2 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi1.50117541V. Ivanytskyi2.5071111113LSep 2 · 12:55Y. Melnyk2.75129117113O. Maslovskyi1.40101131172
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