TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084458
Played Sep 6Finished
Oleg Sapuzhak
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012211511––––
Vasil Salivonchyk
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:38 and never touched — 59.8% is still 59.8%
Graded at full timeVasil Salivonchyk to win
59.8%
59.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleg Sapuzhak above · Vasil Salivonchyk below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 51 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Vasil Salivonchyk at 59.8%
51 points played in total.
H2H Oleg Sapuzhak 2–5 Vasil Salivonchyk Oleg Sapuzhak has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:38What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Salivonchyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Salivonchyk
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sapuzhak 1152 vs Salivonchyk 1245
Salivonchyk
Correct
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sapuzhak 20% vs Salivonchyk 40%
Salivonchyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sapuzhak 40% vs Salivonchyk 70%
Salivonchyk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sapuzhak +1 · Salivonchyk -3
Salivonchyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Salivonchyk) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Salivonchyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSapuzhak 2.20 / Salivonchyk 1.61
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Salivonchyk)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13084458
Sapuzhak2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 8 of 22
Down 0–1, comes back23% 3 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Salivonchyk1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 92 of 150
Up 2–0, closes it87% 41 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it73% 69 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSapuzhak2wins
AwaySalivonchyk5wins
3 of 7 to a deciderSalivonchyk leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSapuzhak25%1 of 4
AwaySalivonchyk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sapuzhak4Salivonchyk3n = 7Sapuzhak took 4 of 7
S2Sapuzhak3Salivonchyk4n = 7Salivonchyk took 4 of 7
S3Sapuzhak3Salivonchyk4n = 7Salivonchyk took 4 of 7
S4Sapuzhak3Salivonchyk3n = 6split evenly
S5Sapuzhak0Salivonchyk3n = 3Salivonchyk took 3 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away343%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricSapuzhakSalivonchykSapuzhak − SalivonchykBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match37.342.9−5.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSapuzhakSalivonchykBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 180 vs 332 / 61841.7%53.7%75 / 180 vs 332 / 618Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.438.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SalivonchykSapuzhak 2.20/Salivonchyk 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Salivonchyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Salivonchyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 30 · 12:25O. Sapuzhak—113761V. Salivonchyk—81111113
LAug 23 · 11:55O. Sapuzhak—51111952V. Salivonchyk—119911113
LAug 16 · 12:25O. Sapuzhak—135119152V. Salivonchyk—1111911173
WAug 9 · 14:55O. Sapuzhak—91111113V. Salivonchyk—118981
LJul 19 · 17:25O. Sapuzhak—11761162V. Salivonchyk—811116113
LJul 12 · 12:55O. Sapuzhak—63100V. Salivonchyk—1111123
WMar 29 · 13:55O. Sapuzhak—11124113V. Salivonchyk—7101141
O. Sapuzhak10
WSep 6 · 16:25O. Sapuzhak2.00111011113S. Kryvoshyi1.73812181LSep 6 · 14:55O. Sapuzhak2.38116841M. Treschetka1.5381111113LSep 6 · 13:25O. Sapuzhak3.50611641V. Kheresko1.2811911113LSep 6 · 11:55O. Sapuzhak2.009111181O. Maksymkiv1.7311136113LAug 30 · 18:55O. Maksymkiv1.8091112113O. Sapuzhak1.911181081WAug 30 · 17:25O. Sapuzhak2.20113117113M. Dunas1.6191141182LAug 30 · 15:25M. Treschetka1.57114911113O. Sapuzhak2.2551111342WAug 30 · 13:25O. Maslovskyi2.639970O. Sapuzhak1.441111113LAug 30 · 12:25V. Salivonchyk1.8081111113O. Sapuzhak1.91113761WAug 23 · 18:25O. Maksymkiv1.5778111362O. Sapuzhak2.251111811113
V. Salivonchyk10
LSep 7 · 06:25V. Kheresko1.80101112113V. Salivonchyk1.911271071WSep 7 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.308950V. Salivonchyk3.401111113LSep 6 · 16:55V. Salivonchyk1.73771181M. Treschetka2.0011111103LSep 6 · 15:55V. Salivonchyk1.9111196892O. Maksymkiv1.807171111113LSep 6 · 14:25V. Salivonchyk4.0011115382S. Kryvoshyi1.22591111113WSep 6 · 12:25V. Salivonchyk2.00126811113V. Kheresko1.73101111472WAug 31 · 10:25V. Salivonchyk1.6791111113M. Treschetka2.10112761WAug 31 · 08:55V. Salivonchyk1.53611127123O. Maslovskyi2.381181011102WAug 31 · 07:25V. Salivonchyk2.633111211113M. Vivatenko1.4411914552WAug 30 · 12:25V. Salivonchyk1.8081111113O. Sapuzhak1.91113761
Upcoming Matches
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V. Salivonchyk
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