TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13044024
Played Aug 30Finished
Oleksandr Maslovskyi
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911711––––
Oleg Sapuzhak
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:56 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeOleg Sapuzhak to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Maslovskyi above · Oleg Sapuzhak below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 58 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Oleg Sapuzhak at 66.5%
58 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Maslovskyi 3–7 Oleg Sapuzhak Oleksandr Maslovskyi has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:56What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Sapuzhak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-7 in 10
Sapuzhak
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maslovskyi 1078 vs Sapuzhak 1157
Sapuzhak
Correct
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maslovskyi 20% vs Sapuzhak 60%
Sapuzhak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maslovskyi 20% vs Sapuzhak 40%
Sapuzhak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maslovskyi -3 · Sapuzhak -1
Maslovskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Sapuzhak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maslovskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaslovskyi 2.63 / Sapuzhak 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Sapuzhak)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13044024
Maslovskyi2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 72 of 217
Down 0–1, comes back21% 30 of 145
Down 0–2, comes back8% 7 of 84
Sapuzhak1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite48% won 15 of 31
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it71% 12 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaslovskyi3wins
AwaySapuzhak7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSapuzhak leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaslovskyi66.7%2 of 3
AwaySapuzhak85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maslovskyi3Sapuzhak7n = 10Sapuzhak took 7 of 10
S2Maslovskyi4Sapuzhak6n = 10Sapuzhak took 6 of 10
S3Maslovskyi2Sapuzhak8n = 10Sapuzhak took 8 of 10
S4Maslovskyi1Sapuzhak5n = 6Sapuzhak took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaslovskyiSapuzhakM − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.739.8−7.1per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaslovskyiSapuzhakBasisWin rate · lifetime435 / 857 vs 74 / 17650.8%42.1%435 / 857 vs 74 / 176Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.635.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SapuzhakMaslovskyi 2.63/Sapuzhak 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Sapuzhak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sapuzhak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 13:25O. Maslovskyi—9970O. Sapuzhak—1111113
LAug 20 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi—811781O. Sapuzhak—11811113
WAug 19 · 17:55O. Maslovskyi—11811123O. Sapuzhak—9118101
LAug 9 · 17:55O. Maslovskyi—1011451O. Sapuzhak—12911113
WAug 1 · 08:55O. Maslovskyi—111155113O. Sapuzhak—69111192
LJul 26 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi—1574141O. Sapuzhak—131111163
WJul 19 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi—611127113O. Sapuzhak—112101192
LJul 12 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi—8770O. Sapuzhak—1111113
LMar 29 · 18:25O. Maslovskyi—12380O. Sapuzhak—1411113
LAug 14 · 18:25O. Maslovskyi—10740O. Sapuzhak—1211113
O. Maslovskyi10
WSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132WSep 3 · 08:55M. Dunas1.57118781O. Maslovskyi2.2591111113LSep 3 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi4.3391111672O. Maksymkiv1.20116611113WSep 3 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.0065111182O. Maslovskyi1.73111189113WSep 3 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.36111116113A. Nikolenko3.00471841LSep 2 · 18:55O. Maslovskyi2.00241181M. Dunas1.7311119113WSep 2 · 16:55A. Nikolenko3.00155331O. Maslovskyi1.36131111113LSep 2 · 14:55M. Treschetka2.2051111113O. Maslovskyi1.61115471LSep 2 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi1.50117541V. Ivanytskyi2.5071111113LSep 2 · 12:55Y. Melnyk2.75129117113O. Maslovskyi1.40101131172
O. Sapuzhak10
LSep 6 · 17:55O. Sapuzhak2.2010250V. Salivonchyk1.611211113WSep 6 · 16:25O. Sapuzhak2.00111011113S. Kryvoshyi1.73812181LSep 6 · 14:55O. Sapuzhak2.38116841M. Treschetka1.5381111113LSep 6 · 13:25O. Sapuzhak3.50611641V. Kheresko1.2811911113LSep 6 · 11:55O. Sapuzhak2.009111181O. Maksymkiv1.7311136113LAug 30 · 18:55O. Maksymkiv1.8091112113O. Sapuzhak1.911181081WAug 30 · 17:25O. Sapuzhak2.20113117113M. Dunas1.6191141182LAug 30 · 15:25M. Treschetka1.57114911113O. Sapuzhak2.2551111342LAug 30 · 12:25V. Salivonchyk1.8081111113O. Sapuzhak1.91113761WAug 23 · 18:25O. Maksymkiv1.5778111362O. Sapuzhak2.251111811113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.