TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043962
Played Aug 30Finished
Mykolay Treschetka
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
115411911113114
Oleg Sapuzhak
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:47 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeMykolay Treschetka to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykolay Treschetka above · Oleg Sapuzhak below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 80 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Mykolay Treschetka at 60.5%
80 points played in total.
H2H Mykolay Treschetka 7–3 Oleg Sapuzhak Oleg Sapuzhak has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:47What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Treschetka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-3 in 10
Treschetka
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Treschetka 1204 vs Sapuzhak 1178
Treschetka
Correct
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Treschetka 60% vs Sapuzhak 80%
Sapuzhak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Treschetka 60% vs Sapuzhak 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Treschetka +3 · Sapuzhak +1
Treschetka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Treschetka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sapuzhak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTreschetka 1.57 / Sapuzhak 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Treschetka)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13043962
Treschetka1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 77 of 126
Up 2–0, closes it90% 37 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it78% 53 of 68
Sapuzhak2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 7 of 18
Down 0–1, comes back25% 3 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTreschetka7wins
AwaySapuzhak3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTreschetka leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTreschetka75%6 of 8
AwaySapuzhakn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Treschetka8Sapuzhak2n = 10Treschetka took 8 of 10
S2Treschetka6Sapuzhak4n = 10Treschetka took 6 of 10
S3Treschetka5Sapuzhak5n = 10split evenly
S4Treschetka5Sapuzhak2n = 7Treschetka took 5 of 7
S5Treschetka1Sapuzhak2n = 3Sapuzhak took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTreschetkaSapuzhakT − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.933.0+6.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTreschetkaSapuzhakBasisWin rate · lifetime478 / 945 vs 73 / 17550.6%41.7%478 / 945 vs 73 / 175Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.135.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TreschetkaTreschetka 1.57/Sapuzhak 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Treschetka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Treschetka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 23 · 15:55M. Treschetka—11611772O. Sapuzhak—611611113
WAug 20 · 07:25M. Treschetka—1511113O. Sapuzhak—13420
WAug 16 · 16:55M. Treschetka—11115123O. Sapuzhak—7511101
WAug 9 · 16:25M. Treschetka—1111113O. Sapuzhak—6660
WAug 1 · 10:25M. Treschetka—9101111113O. Sapuzhak—11123752
WJul 26 · 13:55M. Treschetka—11811113O. Sapuzhak—711541
WJul 19 · 18:25M. Treschetka—111110113O. Sapuzhak—771291
WJul 12 · 16:55M. Treschetka—11118113O. Sapuzhak—671181
LMar 29 · 17:25M. Treschetka—111584102O. Sapuzhak—2131111123
LApr 20 · 16:55M. Treschetka—10670O. Sapuzhak—1211113
M. Treschetka10
LSep 7 · 08:25M. Treschetka2.101110731V. Salivonchyk1.6761211113LSep 7 · 06:55M. Treschetka1.404911111O. Maksymkiv2.7511116133LSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:55M. Treschetka2.10861241V. Kheresko1.67111110113WSep 6 · 16:55V. Salivonchyk1.73771181M. Treschetka2.0011111103WSep 6 · 14:55O. Sapuzhak2.38116841M. Treschetka1.5381111113WSep 6 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.3611911113O. Maksymkiv3.00611861LSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520WSep 3 · 10:25M. Dunas2.206780M. Treschetka1.611111113WSep 3 · 09:25M. Treschetka1.67711119163A. Nikolenko2.10118811142
O. Sapuzhak10
LSep 6 · 17:55O. Sapuzhak2.2010250V. Salivonchyk1.611211113WSep 6 · 16:25O. Sapuzhak2.00111011113S. Kryvoshyi1.73812181LSep 6 · 14:55O. Sapuzhak2.38116841M. Treschetka1.5381111113LSep 6 · 13:25O. Sapuzhak3.50611641V. Kheresko1.2811911113LSep 6 · 11:55O. Sapuzhak2.009111181O. Maksymkiv1.7311136113LAug 30 · 18:55O. Maksymkiv1.8091112113O. Sapuzhak1.911181081WAug 30 · 17:25O. Sapuzhak2.20113117113M. Dunas1.6191141182WAug 30 · 13:25O. Maslovskyi2.639970O. Sapuzhak1.441111113LAug 30 · 12:25V. Salivonchyk1.8081111113O. Sapuzhak1.91113761WAug 23 · 18:25O. Maksymkiv1.5778111362O. Sapuzhak2.251111811113
Upcoming Matches
M. Treschetka
O. Sapuzhak
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.