TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084347
Played Sep 6Finished
Vasil Salivonchyk
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1171917611811911
Oleh Maksymkiv
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleh Maksymkiv to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVasil Salivonchyk above · Oleh Maksymkiv below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 19-17
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 110 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Oleh Maksymkiv at 54.0%
110 points played in total.
H2H Vasil Salivonchyk 19–34 Oleh Maksymkiv Vasil Salivonchyk has won 19 of their 53 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:58What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Maksymkiv
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-34 in 53
Maksymkiv
Correct
gap of 15 in 53, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Salivonchyk 1256 vs Maksymkiv 1257
Maksymkiv
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Salivonchyk 80% vs Maksymkiv 40%
Salivonchyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Salivonchyk 80% vs Maksymkiv 50%
Salivonchyk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Salivonchyk -1 · Maksymkiv -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Salivonchyk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maksymkiv form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSalivonchyk 1.91 / Maksymkiv 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Salivonchyk)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13084347
Salivonchyk1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 35 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back32% 16 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Maksymkiv1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite69% won 126 of 184
Up 2–0, closes it92% 60 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it82% 88 of 108
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSalivonchyk4wins
AwayMaksymkiv6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMaksymkiv leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSalivonchyk42.9%3 of 7
AwayMaksymkiv66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Salivonchyk7Maksymkiv3n = 10Salivonchyk took 7 of 10
S2Salivonchyk6Maksymkiv4n = 10Salivonchyk took 6 of 10
S3Salivonchyk3Maksymkiv7n = 10Maksymkiv took 7 of 10
S4Salivonchyk5Maksymkiv4n = 9Salivonchyk took 5 of 9
S5Salivonchyk1Maksymkiv4n = 5Maksymkiv took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSalivonchykMaksymkivS − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match45.341.7+3.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSalivonchykMaksymkivBasisWin rate · lifetime333 / 619 vs 376 / 71753.8%52.4%333 / 619 vs 376 / 717Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SalivonchykSalivonchyk 1.91/Maksymkiv 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Salivonchyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Maksymkiv won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 15:55V. Salivonchyk—11196892O. Maksymkiv—7171111113
WAug 31 · 04:25V. Salivonchyk—911811143O. Maksymkiv—115111122
LAug 30 · 16:55V. Salivonchyk—111198122O. Maksymkiv—481111143
LAug 23 · 16:25V. Salivonchyk—1116102082O. Maksymkiv—6181218113
WAug 17 · 06:25V. Salivonchyk—1111113O. Maksymkiv—5620
WAug 10 · 07:25V. Salivonchyk—11811113O. Maksymkiv—911541
WJul 19 · 12:25V. Salivonchyk—111210113O. Maksymkiv—2101281
LJun 15 · 04:25V. Salivonchyk—13471162O. Maksymkiv—1111117113
LJun 14 · 17:25V. Salivonchyk—9911111O. Maksymkiv—11114133
LMay 25 · 05:55V. Salivonchyk—11110101O. Maksymkiv—11812123
V. Salivonchyk10
LSep 7 · 06:25V. Kheresko1.80101112113V. Salivonchyk1.911271071WSep 7 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.308950V. Salivonchyk3.401111113WSep 6 · 17:55O. Sapuzhak2.2010250V. Salivonchyk1.611211113LSep 6 · 16:55V. Salivonchyk1.73771181M. Treschetka2.0011111103LSep 6 · 14:25V. Salivonchyk4.0011115382S. Kryvoshyi1.22591111113WSep 6 · 12:25V. Salivonchyk2.00126811113V. Kheresko1.73101111472WAug 31 · 10:25V. Salivonchyk1.6791111113M. Treschetka2.10112761WAug 31 · 08:55V. Salivonchyk1.53611127123O. Maslovskyi2.381181011102WAug 31 · 07:25V. Salivonchyk2.633111211113M. Vivatenko1.4411914552WAug 31 · 05:55V. Salivonchyk1.671111113M. Dunas2.106990
O. Maksymkiv10
WSep 7 · 06:55M. Treschetka1.404911111O. Maksymkiv2.7511116133LSep 7 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv1.4410940V. Kheresko2.631211113WSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113WSep 6 · 17:25V. Kheresko2.5011118141O. Maksymkiv1.5013711163LSep 6 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.3611911113O. Maksymkiv3.00611861WSep 6 · 11:55O. Sapuzhak2.009111181O. Maksymkiv1.7311136113LSep 3 · 11:25A. Nikolenko3.25121211113O. Maksymkiv1.331410141LSep 3 · 09:55O. Maksymkiv1.4411119992V. Ivanytskyi2.63751111113WSep 3 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi4.3391111672O. Maksymkiv1.20116611113WSep 3 · 05:55M. Dunas3.40971541O. Maksymkiv1.30111113113
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