TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13048340
Played Aug 31Finished
Vasil Salivonchyk
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116119119––––
Mykhailo Dunas
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:54 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeVasil Salivonchyk to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingVasil Salivonchyk above · Mykhailo Dunas below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 57 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Vasil Salivonchyk at 58.6%
57 points played in total.
H2H Vasil Salivonchyk 1–0 Mykhailo Dunas Mykhailo Dunas has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:54What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Salivonchyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Salivonchyk 1242 vs Dunas 1146
Salivonchyk
Correct
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Salivonchyk 60% vs Dunas 20%
Salivonchyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Salivonchyk 70% vs Dunas 50%
Salivonchyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Salivonchyk +2 · Dunas -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Salivonchyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dunas form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSalivonchyk 1.67 / Dunas 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Salivonchyk)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13048340
Salivonchyk1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 95 of 156
Up 2–0, closes it87% 41 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it73% 71 of 97
Dunas2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 10 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back12% 2 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSalivonchyk1wins
AwayDunas0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderSalivonchyk leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSalivonchykDunasS − DBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match46.041.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSalivonchykDunasBasisWin rate · lifetime330 / 620 vs 15 / 3953.2%38.5%330 / 620 vs 15 / 39Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.435.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SalivonchykSalivonchyk 1.67/Dunas 2.10
Hit
What we said
58.6%
Salivonchyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Salivonchyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 30 · 15:55V. Salivonchyk—11611993M. Dunas—91171132
V. Salivonchyk10
WSep 7 · 08:25M. Treschetka2.101110731V. Salivonchyk1.6761211113LSep 7 · 06:25V. Kheresko1.80101112113V. Salivonchyk1.911271071WSep 7 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.308950V. Salivonchyk3.401111113WSep 6 · 17:55O. Sapuzhak2.2010250V. Salivonchyk1.611211113LSep 6 · 16:55V. Salivonchyk1.73771181M. Treschetka2.0011111103LSep 6 · 15:55V. Salivonchyk1.9111196892O. Maksymkiv1.807171111113LSep 6 · 14:25V. Salivonchyk4.0011115382S. Kryvoshyi1.22591111113WSep 6 · 12:25V. Salivonchyk2.00126811113V. Kheresko1.73101111472WAug 31 · 10:25V. Salivonchyk1.6791111113M. Treschetka2.10112761WAug 31 · 08:55V. Salivonchyk1.53611127123O. Maslovskyi2.381181011102
M. Dunas10
LSep 3 · 10:25M. Dunas2.206780M. Treschetka1.611111113LSep 3 · 08:55M. Dunas1.57118781O. Maslovskyi2.2591111113WSep 3 · 07:25M. Dunas1.671113125113A. Nikolenko2.10711141122LSep 3 · 05:55M. Dunas3.40971541O. Maksymkiv1.30111113113LSep 3 · 04:25M. Dunas1.5011119692V. Ivanytskyi2.40041111113WSep 2 · 18:55O. Maslovskyi2.00241181M. Dunas1.7311119113WSep 2 · 17:25M. Dunas1.671112113V. Ivanytskyi2.1081070LSep 2 · 15:25Y. Melnyk1.801111113M. Dunas1.916860LSep 2 · 13:25M. Treschetka1.8351111113M. Dunas1.83119421WSep 2 · 12:25A. Nikolenko1.73171191142M. Dunas2.00198118113
Upcoming Matches
V. Salivonchyk
M. Dunas
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