TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089388
Played Sep 7Finished
Hryhoriy Oliynyk
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811911511––––
Vasil Salivonchyk
Away
3.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:22 and never touched — 73.9% is still 73.9%
Graded at full timeHryhoriy Oliynyk to win
73.9%
73.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingHryhoriy Oliynyk above · Vasil Salivonchyk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 55 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Hryhoriy Oliynyk at 73.9%
55 points played in total.
H2H Hryhoriy Oliynyk 6–1 Vasil Salivonchyk Vasil Salivonchyk has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:22What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Oliynyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-1 in 7
Oliynyk
Wrong
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oliynyk 1287 vs Salivonchyk 1256
Oliynyk
Wrong
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oliynyk 80% vs Salivonchyk 40%
Oliynyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oliynyk 70% vs Salivonchyk 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Oliynyk -1 · Salivonchyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Oliynyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Salivonchyk form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOliynyk 1.30 / Salivonchyk 3.40
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Oliynyk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13089388
Oliynyk1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 26 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it74% 20 of 27
Salivonchyk3.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 35 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back32% 16 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeOliynyk6wins
AwaySalivonchyk1wins
1 of 7 to a deciderOliynyk leads 6–1, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOliynyk83.3%5 of 6
AwaySalivonchykn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oliynyk6Salivonchyk1n = 7Oliynyk took 6 of 7
S2Oliynyk5Salivonchyk2n = 7Oliynyk took 5 of 7
S3Oliynyk5Salivonchyk2n = 7Oliynyk took 5 of 7
S4Oliynyk4Salivonchyk0n = 4Oliynyk took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home343%
3–1Four sets, home343%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricOliynykSalivonchykO − SBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set61+5of 7Avg pointsper match39.126.6+12.5per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOliynykSalivonchykBasisWin rate · lifetime110 / 219 vs 333 / 61950.2%53.8%110 / 219 vs 333 / 619Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OliynykOliynyk 1.30/Salivonchyk 3.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.9%
Oliynyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Salivonchyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LJul 29 · 10:25H. Oliynyk—11991192V. Salivonchyk—811118113
WJun 1 · 11:25H. Oliynyk—1111113V. Salivonchyk—5280
WAug 28 · 16:55H. Oliynyk—1111103V. Salivonchyk—8560
WAug 21 · 11:55H. Oliynyk—11911113V. Salivonchyk—511581
WJul 3 · 17:25H. Oliynyk—11117113V. Salivonchyk—781111
WJun 19 · 18:25H. Oliynyk—91111113V. Salivonchyk—117331
WJan 15 · 11:25H. Oliynyk—1114113V. Salivonchyk—31280
H. Oliynyk10
WSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772LAug 27 · 18:25H. Oliynyk1.224860D. Belanchik4.001111113WAug 27 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi3.001129101H. Oliynyk1.3671111123WAug 27 · 15:25H. Oliynyk1.221111113M. Treschetka4.006460WAug 27 · 14:25M. Dunas2.384111091H. Oliynyk1.5311912113WAug 27 · 12:55H. Oliynyk1.2841111113O. Maksymkiv3.50113681LAug 13 · 18:55H. Oliynyk1.53981191D. Kasian2.3811117113WAug 13 · 16:55M. Treschetka4.3311651142H. Oliynyk1.20511115113WAug 13 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi2.635660H. Oliynyk1.441111113WAug 13 · 13:55H. Oliynyk1.331111113O. Maksymkiv3.259840
V. Salivonchyk10
LSep 7 · 06:25V. Kheresko1.80101112113V. Salivonchyk1.911271071WSep 6 · 17:55O. Sapuzhak2.2010250V. Salivonchyk1.611211113LSep 6 · 16:55V. Salivonchyk1.73771181M. Treschetka2.0011111103LSep 6 · 15:55V. Salivonchyk1.9111196892O. Maksymkiv1.807171111113LSep 6 · 14:25V. Salivonchyk4.0011115382S. Kryvoshyi1.22591111113WSep 6 · 12:25V. Salivonchyk2.00126811113V. Kheresko1.73101111472WAug 31 · 10:25V. Salivonchyk1.6791111113M. Treschetka2.10112761WAug 31 · 08:55V. Salivonchyk1.53611127123O. Maslovskyi2.381181011102WAug 31 · 07:25V. Salivonchyk2.633111211113M. Vivatenko1.4411914552WAug 31 · 05:55V. Salivonchyk1.671111113M. Dunas2.106990
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