TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13023189
Played Aug 27Finished
Mykhailo Dunas
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4111191012911––
Hryhoriy Oliynyk
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:01 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeHryhoriy Oliynyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Dunas above · Hryhoriy Oliynyk below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 77 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Hryhoriy Oliynyk at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:01What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Oliynyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Dunas 1114 vs Oliynyk 1283
Oliynyk
Correct
both rated, 169 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dunas 40% vs Oliynyk 80%
Oliynyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dunas 40% vs Oliynyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dunas -2 · Oliynyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Oliynyk) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oliynyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDunas 2.38 / Oliynyk 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Oliynyk)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13023189
Dunas2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 7 of 17
Down 0–1, comes back9% 1 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Oliynyk1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 22 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it72% 18 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricDunasOliynykBasisWin rate · lifetime9 / 24 vs 107 / 21537.5%49.8%9 / 24 vs 107 / 215Avg sets wonper match1.61.9per matchAvg pointsper match33.235.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OliynykDunas 2.38/Oliynyk 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Oliynyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Oliynyk won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Dunas10
LSep 3 · 10:25M. Dunas2.206780M. Treschetka1.611111113LSep 3 · 08:55M. Dunas1.57118781O. Maslovskyi2.2591111113WSep 3 · 07:25M. Dunas1.671113125113A. Nikolenko2.10711141122LSep 3 · 05:55M. Dunas3.40971541O. Maksymkiv1.30111113113LSep 3 · 04:25M. Dunas1.5011119692V. Ivanytskyi2.40041111113WSep 2 · 18:55O. Maslovskyi2.00241181M. Dunas1.7311119113WSep 2 · 17:25M. Dunas1.671112113V. Ivanytskyi2.1081070LSep 2 · 15:25Y. Melnyk1.801111113M. Dunas1.916860LSep 2 · 13:25M. Treschetka1.8351111113M. Dunas1.83119421WSep 2 · 12:25A. Nikolenko1.73171191142M. Dunas2.00198118113
H. Oliynyk10
LSep 7 · 08:55H. Oliynyk1.289880O. Maksymkiv3.501111113WSep 7 · 07:25H. Oliynyk1.5311911113V. Kheresko2.38811861WSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772LSep 7 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.308950V. Salivonchyk3.401111113LAug 27 · 18:25H. Oliynyk1.224860D. Belanchik4.001111113WAug 27 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi3.001129101H. Oliynyk1.3671111123WAug 27 · 15:25H. Oliynyk1.221111113M. Treschetka4.006460WAug 27 · 12:55H. Oliynyk1.2841111113O. Maksymkiv3.50113681LAug 13 · 18:55H. Oliynyk1.53981191D. Kasian2.3811117113WAug 13 · 16:55M. Treschetka4.3311651142H. Oliynyk1.20511115113
Upcoming Matches
M. Dunas
Nothing scheduled
H. Oliynyk
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