TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022590
Played Aug 27Finished
Hryhoriy Oliynyk
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411811611––––
Dmitriy Belanchik
Away
4.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:32 and never touched — 80.1% is still 80.1%
Graded at full timeHryhoriy Oliynyk to win
80.1%
80.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingHryhoriy Oliynyk above · Dmitriy Belanchik below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 51 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Hryhoriy Oliynyk at 80.1%
51 points played in total.
H2H Hryhoriy Oliynyk 15–1 Dmitriy Belanchik Dmitriy Belanchik has won 1 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:32What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Oliynyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-1 in 16
Oliynyk
Wrong
gap of 14 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oliynyk 1287 vs Belanchik 1210
Oliynyk
Wrong
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oliynyk 80% vs Belanchik 60%
Oliynyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oliynyk 70% vs Belanchik 50%
Oliynyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Oliynyk +4 · Belanchik -1
Oliynyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Oliynyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Belanchik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOliynyk 1.22 / Belanchik 4.00
Signal prob.80% / 20%
Edge (Oliynyk)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13022590
Oliynyk1.22
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 22 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it72% 18 of 25
Belanchik4.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 13 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back14% 3 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOliynyk9wins
AwayBelanchik1wins
Oliynyk leads 9–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOliynyk100%8 of 8
AwayBelanchikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oliynyk8Belanchik2n = 10Oliynyk took 8 of 10
S2Oliynyk6Belanchik4n = 10Oliynyk took 6 of 10
S3Oliynyk9Belanchik1n = 10Oliynyk took 9 of 10
S4Oliynyk4Belanchik0n = 4Oliynyk took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricOliynykBelanchikO − BBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match34.926.2+8.7per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOliynykBelanchikBasisWin rate · lifetime110 / 219 vs 107 / 23950.2%44.8%110 / 219 vs 107 / 239Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.235.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OliynykOliynyk 1.22/Belanchik 4.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
80.1%
Oliynyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Belanchik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 18:25H. Oliynyk—4860D. Belanchik—1111113
WJun 1 · 09:25H. Oliynyk—12911113D. Belanchik—1011961
WMar 20 · 17:25H. Oliynyk—111011113D. Belanchik—812891
WJan 30 · 16:55H. Oliynyk—1111113D. Belanchik—4350
WAug 28 · 17:55H. Oliynyk—1111113D. Belanchik—9790
WAug 21 · 13:25H. Oliynyk—13712113D. Belanchik—11111081
WMar 27 · 11:25H. Oliynyk—1111103D. Belanchik—2550
WMar 26 · 16:55H. Oliynyk—1111113D. Belanchik—9280
WMar 13 · 11:25H. Oliynyk—31111113D. Belanchik—113541
WMar 12 · 16:25H. Oliynyk—1311113D. Belanchik—11770
H. Oliynyk10
WSep 7 · 07:25H. Oliynyk1.5311911113V. Kheresko2.38811861WSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772LSep 7 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.308950V. Salivonchyk3.401111113WAug 27 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi3.001129101H. Oliynyk1.3671111123WAug 27 · 15:25H. Oliynyk1.221111113M. Treschetka4.006460WAug 27 · 14:25M. Dunas2.384111091H. Oliynyk1.5311912113WAug 27 · 12:55H. Oliynyk1.2841111113O. Maksymkiv3.50113681LAug 13 · 18:55H. Oliynyk1.53981191D. Kasian2.3811117113WAug 13 · 16:55M. Treschetka4.3311651142H. Oliynyk1.20511115113WAug 13 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi2.635660H. Oliynyk1.441111113
D. Belanchik10
LAug 28 · 10:25M. Treschetka2.201112113D. Belanchik1.6141050WAug 28 · 09:25D. Belanchik1.44911125113O. Maslovskyi2.63115101172LAug 28 · 08:25D. Belanchik2.20111311972O. Maksymkiv1.61915711113WAug 28 · 06:55D. Belanchik1.409121111113M. Vivatenko2.7511146652WAug 28 · 04:55D. Belanchik1.40891111113M. Dunas2.7511116552LAug 27 · 17:25M. Treschetka2.389111112133D. Belanchik1.531191310112WAug 27 · 15:55M. Dunas2.1061070D. Belanchik1.671112113LAug 27 · 13:55O. Maksymkiv1.831111143D. Belanchik1.8379120WAug 27 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi2.38911661D. Belanchik1.5311711113WAug 24 · 10:25M. Treschetka2.10312881D. Belanchik1.67111011113
Upcoming Matches
H. Oliynyk
D. Belanchik
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