TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022676
Played Aug 27Finished
Mykhailo Dunas
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6111012711––––
Dmitriy Belanchik
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmitriy Belanchik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Dunas above · Dmitriy Belanchik below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 57 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Dmitriy Belanchik at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Dunas 1–1 Dmitriy Belanchik Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:56What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Belanchik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Dunas 1104 vs Belanchik 1194
Belanchik
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dunas 20% vs Belanchik 60%
Belanchik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dunas 40% vs Belanchik 60%
Belanchik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dunas -3 · Belanchik -1
Dunas
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Belanchik) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dunas form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDunas 2.10 / Belanchik 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Belanchik)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13022676
Dunas2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 7 of 17
Down 0–1, comes back9% 1 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Belanchik1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 29 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it81% 17 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeDunas1wins
AwayBelanchik1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricDunasBelanchikD − BBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match34.034.5−0.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDunasBelanchikBasisWin rate · lifetime9 / 25 vs 105 / 23636%44.5%9 / 25 vs 105 / 236Avg sets wonper match1.61.8per matchAvg pointsper match33.335.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BelanchikDunas 2.10/Belanchik 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Belanchik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Belanchik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 20 · 08:25M. Dunas—69100D. Belanchik—1111123
WAug 19 · 18:25M. Dunas—11118133D. Belanchik—9411111
M. Dunas10
LSep 3 · 10:25M. Dunas2.206780M. Treschetka1.611111113LSep 3 · 08:55M. Dunas1.57118781O. Maslovskyi2.2591111113WSep 3 · 07:25M. Dunas1.671113125113A. Nikolenko2.10711141122LSep 3 · 05:55M. Dunas3.40971541O. Maksymkiv1.30111113113LSep 3 · 04:25M. Dunas1.5011119692V. Ivanytskyi2.40041111113WSep 2 · 18:55O. Maslovskyi2.00241181M. Dunas1.7311119113WSep 2 · 17:25M. Dunas1.671112113V. Ivanytskyi2.1081070LSep 2 · 15:25Y. Melnyk1.801111113M. Dunas1.916860LSep 2 · 13:25M. Treschetka1.8351111113M. Dunas1.83119421WSep 2 · 12:25A. Nikolenko1.73171191142M. Dunas2.00198118113
D. Belanchik10
LAug 28 · 10:25M. Treschetka2.201112113D. Belanchik1.6141050WAug 28 · 09:25D. Belanchik1.44911125113O. Maslovskyi2.63115101172LAug 28 · 08:25D. Belanchik2.20111311972O. Maksymkiv1.61915711113WAug 28 · 06:55D. Belanchik1.409121111113M. Vivatenko2.7511146652WAug 28 · 04:55D. Belanchik1.40891111113M. Dunas2.7511116552WAug 27 · 18:25H. Oliynyk1.224860D. Belanchik4.001111113LAug 27 · 17:25M. Treschetka2.389111112133D. Belanchik1.531191310112LAug 27 · 13:55O. Maksymkiv1.831111143D. Belanchik1.8379120WAug 27 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi2.38911661D. Belanchik1.5311711113WAug 24 · 10:25M. Treschetka2.10312881D. Belanchik1.67111011113
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