TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031337
Played Aug 28Finished
Mykolay Treschetka
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1141210115––––
Dmitriy Belanchik
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:18 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeDmitriy Belanchik to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMykolay Treschetka above · Dmitriy Belanchik below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 53 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Dmitriy Belanchik at 61.2%
53 points played in total.
H2H Mykolay Treschetka 4–6 Dmitriy Belanchik Mykolay Treschetka has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:18What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Belanchik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Belanchik
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Treschetka 1166 vs Belanchik 1207
Belanchik
Wrong
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Treschetka 40% vs Belanchik 80%
Belanchik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Treschetka 40% vs Belanchik 70%
Belanchik
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Treschetka -3 · Belanchik +1
Treschetka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Belanchik) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Belanchik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTreschetka 2.20 / Belanchik 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Belanchik)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13031337
Treschetka2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 92 of 222
Down 0–1, comes back21% 25 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back11% 8 of 73
Belanchik1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 28 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it78% 18 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTreschetka4wins
AwayBelanchik6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBelanchik leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTreschetka25%1 of 4
AwayBelanchik50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Treschetka4Belanchik6n = 10Belanchik took 6 of 10
S2Treschetka5Belanchik5n = 10split evenly
S3Treschetka5Belanchik5n = 10split evenly
S4Treschetka4Belanchik5n = 9Belanchik took 5 of 9
S5Treschetka2Belanchik2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTreschetkaBelanchikT − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.540.8+0.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTreschetkaBelanchikBasisWin rate · lifetime476 / 943 vs 110 / 24450.5%45.1%476 / 943 vs 110 / 244Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.135.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BelanchikTreschetka 2.20/Belanchik 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Belanchik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Treschetka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 17:25M. Treschetka—9111112133D. Belanchik—1191310112
LAug 24 · 10:25M. Treschetka—312881D. Belanchik—111011113
LAug 23 · 16:55M. Treschetka—9115101D. Belanchik—11611123
WAug 20 · 10:25M. Treschetka—1111153D. Belanchik—65130
LJul 30 · 10:25M. Treschetka—117111182D. Belanchik—811134113
LJul 29 · 13:25M. Treschetka—481191D. Belanchik—11114113
LJul 27 · 08:25M. Treschetka—1157101D. Belanchik—51111123
WJul 26 · 18:55M. Treschetka—91111113D. Belanchik—113891
WJul 3 · 08:25M. Treschetka—8111211113D. Belanchik—111310872
LJul 2 · 16:25M. Treschetka—11811992D. Belanchik—611511113
M. Treschetka10
LSep 7 · 08:25M. Treschetka2.101110731V. Salivonchyk1.6761211113LSep 7 · 06:55M. Treschetka1.404911111O. Maksymkiv2.7511116133LSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:55M. Treschetka2.10861241V. Kheresko1.67111110113WSep 6 · 16:55V. Salivonchyk1.73771181M. Treschetka2.0011111103WSep 6 · 14:55O. Sapuzhak2.38116841M. Treschetka1.5381111113WSep 6 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.3611911113O. Maksymkiv3.00611861LSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520WSep 3 · 10:25M. Dunas2.206780M. Treschetka1.611111113WSep 3 · 09:25M. Treschetka1.67711119163A. Nikolenko2.10118811142
D. Belanchik10
WAug 28 · 09:25D. Belanchik1.44911125113O. Maslovskyi2.63115101172LAug 28 · 08:25D. Belanchik2.20111311972O. Maksymkiv1.61915711113WAug 28 · 06:55D. Belanchik1.409121111113M. Vivatenko2.7511146652WAug 28 · 04:55D. Belanchik1.40891111113M. Dunas2.7511116552WAug 27 · 18:25H. Oliynyk1.224860D. Belanchik4.001111113LAug 27 · 17:25M. Treschetka2.389111112133D. Belanchik1.531191310112WAug 27 · 15:55M. Dunas2.1061070D. Belanchik1.671112113LAug 27 · 13:55O. Maksymkiv1.831111143D. Belanchik1.8379120WAug 27 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi2.38911661D. Belanchik1.5311711113WAug 24 · 10:25M. Treschetka2.10312881D. Belanchik1.67111011113
Upcoming Matches
M. Treschetka
D. Belanchik
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