TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12481686
Played Aug 24Finished
Mykolay Treschetka
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
3111210811811––
Dmitriy Belanchik
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmitriy Belanchik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykolay Treschetka above · Dmitriy Belanchik below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 74 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Dmitriy Belanchik at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Mykolay Treschetka 3–5 Dmitriy Belanchik Mykolay Treschetka has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:28What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Belanchik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Belanchik
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Treschetka 1166 vs Belanchik 1190
Belanchik
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Treschetka 20% vs Belanchik 40%
Belanchik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Treschetka 30% vs Belanchik 60%
Belanchik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Treschetka -1 · Belanchik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Belanchik) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Belanchik form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTreschetka 2.10 / Belanchik 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Belanchik)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12481686
Treschetka2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 90 of 219
Down 0–1, comes back21% 24 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back11% 8 of 74
Belanchik1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 26 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it78% 14 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeTreschetka3wins
AwayBelanchik5wins
3 of 8 to a deciderBelanchik leads 5–3, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTreschetka25%1 of 4
AwayBelanchik50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Treschetka4Belanchik4n = 8split evenly
S2Treschetka3Belanchik5n = 8Belanchik took 5 of 8
S3Treschetka5Belanchik3n = 8Treschetka took 5 of 8
S4Treschetka3Belanchik4n = 7Belanchik took 4 of 7
S5Treschetka1Belanchik2n = 3Belanchik took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricTreschetkaBelanchikT − BBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match41.038.9+2.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTreschetkaBelanchikBasisWin rate · lifetime479 / 957 vs 103 / 23350.1%44.2%479 / 957 vs 103 / 233Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.135.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BelanchikTreschetka 2.10/Belanchik 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.8%
Belanchik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Belanchik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 23 · 16:55M. Treschetka—9115101D. Belanchik—11611123
WAug 20 · 10:25M. Treschetka—1111153D. Belanchik—65130
LJul 30 · 10:25M. Treschetka—117111182D. Belanchik—811134113
LJul 29 · 13:25M. Treschetka—481191D. Belanchik—11114113
LJul 27 · 08:25M. Treschetka—1157101D. Belanchik—51111123
WJul 26 · 18:55M. Treschetka—91111113D. Belanchik—113891
WJul 3 · 08:25M. Treschetka—8111211113D. Belanchik—111310872
LJul 2 · 16:25M. Treschetka—11811992D. Belanchik—611511113
M. Treschetka10
LSep 7 · 08:25M. Treschetka2.101110731V. Salivonchyk1.6761211113LSep 7 · 06:55M. Treschetka1.404911111O. Maksymkiv2.7511116133LSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:55M. Treschetka2.10861241V. Kheresko1.67111110113WSep 6 · 16:55V. Salivonchyk1.73771181M. Treschetka2.0011111103WSep 6 · 14:55O. Sapuzhak2.38116841M. Treschetka1.5381111113WSep 6 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.3611911113O. Maksymkiv3.00611861LSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520WSep 3 · 10:25M. Dunas2.206780M. Treschetka1.611111113WSep 3 · 09:25M. Treschetka1.67711119163A. Nikolenko2.10118811142
D. Belanchik10
LAug 28 · 10:25M. Treschetka2.201112113D. Belanchik1.6141050WAug 28 · 09:25D. Belanchik1.44911125113O. Maslovskyi2.63115101172LAug 28 · 08:25D. Belanchik2.20111311972O. Maksymkiv1.61915711113WAug 28 · 06:55D. Belanchik1.409121111113M. Vivatenko2.7511146652WAug 28 · 04:55D. Belanchik1.40891111113M. Dunas2.7511116552WAug 27 · 18:25H. Oliynyk1.224860D. Belanchik4.001111113LAug 27 · 17:25M. Treschetka2.389111112133D. Belanchik1.531191310112WAug 27 · 15:55M. Dunas2.1061070D. Belanchik1.671112113LAug 27 · 13:55O. Maksymkiv1.831111143D. Belanchik1.8379120WAug 27 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi2.38911661D. Belanchik1.5311711113
Upcoming Matches
M. Treschetka
D. Belanchik
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.