TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031391
Played Aug 28Finished
Dmitriy Belanchik
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111151210511117
Oleksandr Maslovskyi
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:16 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeDmitriy Belanchik to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmitriy Belanchik above · Oleksandr Maslovskyi below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 92 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Dmitriy Belanchik at 65.7%
92 points played in total.
H2H Dmitriy Belanchik 11–6 Oleksandr Maslovskyi Oleksandr Maslovskyi has won 6 of their 17 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:16What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Belanchik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-6 in 17
Belanchik
Correct
gap of 5 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Belanchik 1215 vs Maslovskyi 1122
Belanchik
Correct
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Belanchik 60% vs Maslovskyi 20%
Belanchik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Belanchik 70% vs Maslovskyi 20%
Belanchik
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Belanchik -1 · Maslovskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Belanchik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maslovskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBelanchik 1.44 / Maslovskyi 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Belanchik)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13031391
Belanchik1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 28 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it78% 18 of 23
Maslovskyi2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 72 of 213
Down 0–1, comes back21% 30 of 142
Down 0–2, comes back8% 7 of 83
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBelanchik5wins
AwayMaslovskyi5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBelanchik66.7%4 of 6
AwayMaslovskyi75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Belanchik6Maslovskyi4n = 10Belanchik took 6 of 10
S2Belanchik3Maslovskyi7n = 10Maslovskyi took 7 of 10
S3Belanchik5Maslovskyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Belanchik4Maslovskyi3n = 7Belanchik took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBelanchikMaslovskyiB − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.936.3−1.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBelanchikMaslovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime109 / 242 vs 435 / 85245%51.1%109 / 242 vs 435 / 852Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BelanchikBelanchik 1.44/Maslovskyi 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Belanchik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Belanchik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 11:55D. Belanchik—11711113O. Maslovskyi—911661
WAug 24 · 09:25D. Belanchik—11711133O. Maslovskyi—7118111
WAug 20 · 06:55D. Belanchik—1111113O. Maslovskyi—8470
WAug 19 · 16:25D. Belanchik—281114113O. Maslovskyi—111151282
LJul 30 · 06:55D. Belanchik—11711762O. Maslovskyi—911811113
LJul 29 · 15:25D. Belanchik—611491O. Maslovskyi—11611113
LJul 27 · 09:25D. Belanchik—7750O. Maslovskyi—1111113
LJul 26 · 13:25D. Belanchik—9940O. Maslovskyi—1111113
LJul 3 · 06:55D. Belanchik—119571O. Maslovskyi—31111113
WJul 2 · 17:55D. Belanchik—111110113O. Maslovskyi—981281
D. Belanchik10
LAug 28 · 10:25M. Treschetka2.201112113D. Belanchik1.6141050LAug 28 · 08:25D. Belanchik2.20111311972O. Maksymkiv1.61915711113WAug 28 · 06:55D. Belanchik1.409121111113M. Vivatenko2.7511146652WAug 28 · 04:55D. Belanchik1.40891111113M. Dunas2.7511116552WAug 27 · 18:25H. Oliynyk1.224860D. Belanchik4.001111113LAug 27 · 17:25M. Treschetka2.389111112133D. Belanchik1.531191310112WAug 27 · 15:55M. Dunas2.1061070D. Belanchik1.671112113LAug 27 · 13:55O. Maksymkiv1.831111143D. Belanchik1.8379120WAug 27 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi2.38911661D. Belanchik1.5311711113WAug 24 · 10:25M. Treschetka2.10312881D. Belanchik1.67111011113
O. Maslovskyi10
WSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132WSep 3 · 08:55M. Dunas1.57118781O. Maslovskyi2.2591111113LSep 3 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi4.3391111672O. Maksymkiv1.20116611113WSep 3 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.0065111182O. Maslovskyi1.73111189113WSep 3 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.36111116113A. Nikolenko3.00471841LSep 2 · 18:55O. Maslovskyi2.00241181M. Dunas1.7311119113WSep 2 · 16:55A. Nikolenko3.00155331O. Maslovskyi1.36131111113LSep 2 · 14:55M. Treschetka2.2051111113O. Maslovskyi1.61115471LSep 2 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi1.50117541V. Ivanytskyi2.5071111113LAug 27 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi2.38911661D. Belanchik1.5311711113
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