TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022722
Played Aug 27Finished
Oleh Maksymkiv
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171191412––––
Dmitriy Belanchik
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmitriy Belanchik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingOleh Maksymkiv above · Dmitriy Belanchik below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 14-12
Point 64 set 3, 14-12 — our read held Dmitriy Belanchik at 54.0%
64 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Maksymkiv 3–4 Dmitriy Belanchik Oleh Maksymkiv has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:54What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Belanchik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maksymkiv 1131 vs Belanchik 1211
Belanchik
Wrong
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maksymkiv 20% vs Belanchik 80%
Belanchik
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maksymkiv 20% vs Belanchik 70%
Belanchik
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maksymkiv -2 · Belanchik +3
Belanchik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Belanchik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Belanchik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaksymkiv 1.83 / Belanchik 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Belanchik)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13022722
Maksymkiv1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Belanchik1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMaksymkiv3wins
AwayBelanchik4wins
Belanchik leads 4–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaksymkiv60%3 of 5
AwayBelanchikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maksymkiv5Belanchik2n = 7Maksymkiv took 5 of 7
S2Maksymkiv2Belanchik5n = 7Belanchik took 5 of 7
S3Maksymkiv4Belanchik3n = 7Maksymkiv took 4 of 7
S4Maksymkiv2Belanchik4n = 6Belanchik took 4 of 6
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away457%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricMaksymkivBelanchikM − BBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match33.034.6−1.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaksymkivBelanchikBasisWin rate · lifetime354 / 683 vs 105 / 23551.8%44.7%354 / 683 vs 105 / 235Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.135.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BelanchikMaksymkiv 1.83/Belanchik 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Belanchik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Maksymkiv won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 23 · 12:55O. Maksymkiv—811431D. Belanchik—11811113
WJul 30 · 04:55O. Maksymkiv—11611113D. Belanchik—411381
WJul 29 · 16:59O. Maksymkiv—1111143D. Belanchik—65120
LJul 29 · 12:25O. Maksymkiv—119361D. Belanchik—61111113
LJul 27 · 10:25O. Maksymkiv—1111331D. Belanchik—71311113
LJul 26 · 15:25O. Maksymkiv—1061161D. Belanchik—12118113
WJul 2 · 11:55O. Maksymkiv—11711113D. Belanchik—511581
O. Maksymkiv10
WSep 7 · 08:55H. Oliynyk1.289880O. Maksymkiv3.501111113LSep 7 · 07:55O. Maksymkiv2.101021521S. Kryvoshyi1.67121113113WSep 7 · 06:55M. Treschetka1.404911111O. Maksymkiv2.7511116133LSep 7 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv1.4410940V. Kheresko2.631211113WSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113WSep 6 · 17:25V. Kheresko2.5011118141O. Maksymkiv1.5013711163WSep 6 · 15:55V. Salivonchyk1.9111196892O. Maksymkiv1.807171111113LSep 6 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.3611911113O. Maksymkiv3.00611861WSep 6 · 11:55O. Sapuzhak2.009111181O. Maksymkiv1.7311136113LSep 3 · 11:25A. Nikolenko3.25121211113O. Maksymkiv1.331410141
D. Belanchik10
LAug 28 · 10:25M. Treschetka2.201112113D. Belanchik1.6141050WAug 28 · 09:25D. Belanchik1.44911125113O. Maslovskyi2.63115101172LAug 28 · 08:25D. Belanchik2.20111311972O. Maksymkiv1.61915711113WAug 28 · 06:55D. Belanchik1.409121111113M. Vivatenko2.7511146652WAug 28 · 04:55D. Belanchik1.40891111113M. Dunas2.7511116552WAug 27 · 18:25H. Oliynyk1.224860D. Belanchik4.001111113LAug 27 · 17:25M. Treschetka2.389111112133D. Belanchik1.531191310112WAug 27 · 15:55M. Dunas2.1061070D. Belanchik1.671112113WAug 27 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi2.38911661D. Belanchik1.5311711113WAug 24 · 10:25M. Treschetka2.10312881D. Belanchik1.67111011113
Upcoming Matches
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